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The AES Corporation's (NYSE:AES) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues
When close to half the companies operating in the Renewable Energy industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may consider The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES) as an attractive investment with its 1.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for AES
What Does AES' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been more advantageous for AES as its revenue hasn't fallen as much as the rest of the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this relatively better revenue performance might be about to deteriorate significantly. You'd much rather the company continue improving its revenue if you still believe in the business. But at the very least, you'd be hoping that revenue doesn't fall off a cliff completely if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think AES' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is AES' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like AES' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.0%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 19% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.5% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why AES is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On AES' P/S
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of AES' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with AES (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AES
AES
Operates as a diversified power generation and utility company in the United States and internationally.
Undervalued established dividend payer.