Xcel Energy Inc.

NasdaqGS:XEL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$38.7b

Xcel Energy Valuation

Is XEL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XEL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XEL ($67.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($72.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XEL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XEL?

Key metric: As XEL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XEL. This is calculated by dividing XEL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XEL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.6x
EarningsUS$1.88b
Market CapUS$38.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XEL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XEL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
EXC Exelon
15.3x6.7%US$37.2b
ETR Entergy
18.3x9.8%US$32.2b
PCG PG&E
15.4x10.1%US$42.4b
EIX Edison International
23.3x15.3%US$30.8b
XEL Xcel Energy
20.6x10.5%US$38.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XEL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XEL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
XEL 20.6xIndustry Avg. 20.5xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XEL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the US Electric Utilities industry average (20.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XEL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XEL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.6x
Fair PE Ratio21.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: XEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XEL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$67.40
US$72.39
+7.4%
6.3%US$80.00US$62.00n/a17
Dec ’25US$72.56
US$71.38
-1.6%
5.7%US$79.00US$61.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$66.69
US$70.08
+5.1%
5.9%US$77.00US$61.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$65.32
US$66.85
+2.3%
6.4%US$73.00US$57.00n/a17
Sep ’25US$61.23
US$65.52
+7.0%
5.9%US$73.00US$57.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$59.11
US$63.15
+6.8%
6.6%US$72.00US$57.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$52.43
US$62.52
+19.3%
7.1%US$72.00US$57.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$55.45
US$62.71
+13.1%
7.1%US$72.00US$57.00n/a16
May ’25US$53.78
US$62.43
+16.1%
7.3%US$72.00US$57.00n/a16
Apr ’25US$53.28
US$62.33
+17.0%
9.3%US$71.00US$54.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$49.57
US$65.43
+32.0%
7.1%US$75.00US$59.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$61.14
US$65.79
+7.6%
6.5%US$75.00US$61.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$61.91
US$64.57
+4.3%
6.8%US$74.00US$58.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$61.43
US$63.86
+4.0%
7.5%US$74.00US$58.00US$72.5614
Nov ’24US$60.54
US$63.43
+4.8%
7.7%US$74.00US$58.00US$66.6914
Oct ’24US$57.22
US$65.50
+14.5%
8.0%US$74.00US$58.00US$65.3214
Sep ’24US$56.51
US$66.71
+18.1%
8.5%US$76.00US$59.00US$61.2314
Aug ’24US$62.85
US$69.00
+9.8%
6.3%US$76.00US$59.00US$59.1113
Jul ’24US$62.17
US$69.23
+11.4%
7.3%US$78.00US$59.00US$52.4313
Jun ’24US$63.55
US$72.00
+13.3%
7.4%US$79.00US$60.00US$55.4513
May ’24US$70.17
US$72.85
+3.8%
6.5%US$79.00US$60.00US$53.7813
Apr ’24US$67.44
US$71.62
+6.2%
7.2%US$78.00US$59.00US$53.2813
Mar ’24US$63.27
US$72.79
+15.0%
6.7%US$79.00US$59.00US$49.5714
Feb ’24US$69.61
US$72.93
+4.8%
6.4%US$79.00US$59.00US$61.1414
Jan ’24US$70.11
US$70.50
+0.6%
7.3%US$79.00US$59.00US$61.9114
Dec ’23US$70.19
US$68.87
-1.9%
6.8%US$77.00US$58.00US$61.4315

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:21
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Xcel Energy Inc. is covered by 36 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gary HovisArgus Research Company
Nathan JudgeAtlantic Equities LLP
David ParkerBaird