Xcel Energy Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Xcel Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.8% and 7.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.3% in 3 years.
Key information
12.8%
Earnings growth rate
9.99%
EPS growth rate
| Electric Utilities earnings growth | 11.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.9% |
| Future return on equity | 10.27% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Feb 08
Earnings Miss: Xcel Energy Inc. Missed EPS By 8.9% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Xcel Energy Inc. ( NASDAQ:XEL ) last week reported its latest annual results, which makes it a good time for investors...Analysis Article • Nov 02
Earnings Miss: Xcel Energy Inc. Missed EPS By 34% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
The quarterly results for Xcel Energy Inc. ( NASDAQ:XEL ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...Recent updates
Analysis Article • May 07
We Think That There Are Some Issues For Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) Beyond Its Promising Earnings
Xcel Energy Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:XEL ) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We think this is due to...
Narrative Update • May 06
XEL: Data Center Expansion And Grid Investments Will Support Future Returns
Xcel Energy's analyst price target has shifted higher, with the fair value estimate moving from about $89.94 to $92.17 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, margins, and long term P/E expectations. These changes are reflected in recent target adjustments across several research firms.Seeking Alpha • Apr 20
Xcelerate Your Portfolio's Returns With Xcel Energy
Summary Xcel Energy is reaffirmed as a Buy, supported by robust growth, a $60B capex plan, and strategic partnerships fueling data center-driven demand. XEL’s ongoing diluted EPS is projected to grow at a 9.3% annual rate, with a fair value estimate of $85/share, offering a 5% discount to current pricing. Recent deals with NextEra Energy, GE Vernova, and Google reinforce XEL’s growth trajectory and risk management for grid expansion and data center projects. Dividend growth remains strong and sustainable, with a 23-year streak, high payout safety, and the company nearing Dividend Aristocrat status. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 20
XEL: Data Center Load Agreements And Grid Investments Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have nudged Xcel Energy's price target higher by $2 to $91, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. Recent Street research highlights refreshed views on utilities, evolving data center demand and shifting affordability and political considerations.Narrative Update • Apr 05
XEL: Data Center Agreements And Capital Plans Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have made a modest trim to the consolidated price target on Xcel Energy, with the updated fair value estimate moving by about $0.24 to $89.53. Recent target changes from UBS, Morgan Stanley, RBC Capital, and Barclays reflect fine tuning of assumptions around discount rates, growth, margins, and future P/E levels rather than a shift in the core thesis.Narrative Update • Mar 22
XEL: Data Center Agreements And Transmission Expansion Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their Xcel Energy fair value estimate higher, reflecting a modest increase in the target to $89.76 from $88.94 as they factor in updated price targets and discussion around data center demand, affordability, and political considerations in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent price target changes around Xcel Energy highlight a mixed but engaged view from the Street, with several firms revisiting their assumptions on valuation, data center exposure, and regulatory risk.Narrative Update • Mar 08
XEL: Data Center Agreements And Grid Projects Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst price target for Xcel Energy has been raised by $7 to $91, as analysts cite updated sector views for regulated utilities, recent target revisions from several firms, and evolving expectations related to data center demand and political considerations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Xcel Energy highlights a mix of optimism and caution as analysts refresh their views on regulated utilities and adjust price targets around sector updates and data center related demand expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 21
XEL: Data Center Load And Grid Projects Will Shape Future Earnings Visibility
Our Xcel Energy narrative fair value estimate edges up by about $1.35 to $88.65, reflecting analysts' refreshed price targets and updated views on profit margins, growth, and data center related demand drivers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Xcel Energy reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several large firms updating their price targets and ratings as they reassess data center exposure, earnings visibility, and relative valuation versus broader utilities.Analysis Article • Feb 08
Earnings Miss: Xcel Energy Inc. Missed EPS By 8.9% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Xcel Energy Inc. ( NASDAQ:XEL ) last week reported its latest annual results, which makes it a good time for investors...Narrative Update • Feb 06
XEL: Data Center Demand And Grid Projects Will Support Future Earnings Visibility
Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their price target on Xcel Energy, reflecting a slightly higher fair value estimate of about $87.29 as they factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent mixed target moves from major firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts who raised their targets see room for Xcel Energy's valuation to better reflect their updated fair value work, even after mixed moves across the coverage list.Narrative Update • Jan 22
XEL: Data Center Power Demand Will Support Earnings Visibility And Multiple Expansion
Our updated analyst price target for Xcel Energy trims fair value slightly to US$86.94. This reflects modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and P/E assumptions as analysts weigh mixed recent target changes from firms raising and lowering their views on the stock.Narrative Update • Jan 08
XEL: Data Center Power Demand Will Restore Premium Multiple Over Time
Analysts have modestly revised their blended price outlook for Xcel Energy, with individual targets now ranging from about $84 to $93, reflecting updated sector views on regulated utilities, data center driven electricity demand, and rate case timing. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Xcel Energy reflect a split between bullish analysts who see upside tied to valuation, capital investment, and data center related demand, and more cautious voices that are focused on sector performance and pricing in existing expectations.Narrative Update • Dec 18
XEL: Marshall Fire Resolution Will Restore Premium Multiple Over Time
The updated narrative on Xcel Energy reflects a modest reduction in the implied fair value of roughly $1 per share to align with a slightly lower future P/E multiple, even as analysts highlight improving revenue growth and margin trends, continued upside from rate base expansion, and a broad wave of recent price target increases into the low to mid $80s and low $90s range across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Xcel Energy reflects a broadly constructive tone, with multiple firms lifting price targets into the low to mid $80s and low $90s, even as a few updates modestly trim estimates to reflect sector relative performance and valuation discipline.Narrative Update • Dec 04
XEL: Marshall Fire Settlement Will Clear Overhang And Restore Premium Multiple
Analysts have modestly trimmed their blended price target for Xcel Energy by less than $1, to the mid $80s per share, as they balance recent target hikes tied to above consensus long term earnings growth and renewed premium valuation potential against selective downward revisions reflecting sector underperformance and updated utilities coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a constructive but selective stance on Xcel Energy, with most updates highlighting improving fundamentals, clearer legal visibility and the potential for the shares to regain a premium valuation multiple despite pockets of caution around sector performance and valuation.Narrative Update • Nov 20
XEL: Litigation Settlements And Renewables Access Will Drive Long-Term Rate Base Expansion
Xcel Energy's analyst price target has increased slightly, reflecting a modest improvement in fair value projections to $88.47. Analysts cite stronger revenue growth and continued confidence in the company's regulated utility earnings profile as factors supporting this revision.Narrative Update • Nov 05
XEL: Ongoing Litigation Settlements And Renewables Access Will Shape Future Performance
Analysts have increased their average price target for Xcel Energy by over $3 to approximately $88. This reflects increased confidence after the Marshall Fire legal settlements and improved earnings growth projections.Analysis Article • Nov 02
Earnings Miss: Xcel Energy Inc. Missed EPS By 34% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
The quarterly results for Xcel Energy Inc. ( NASDAQ:XEL ) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its...Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Lift Xcel Energy Price Targets as Litigation Clears and Growth Prospects Improve
Analysts have raised their price target for Xcel Energy by nearly $3. This reflects ongoing confidence in the company’s growth outlook and recent resolution of litigation risks.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Clean Energy Buildout Will Achieve 80% Carbon-Free Generation
The analyst price target for Xcel Energy increased to approximately $81.79 from $78.08. This reflects analysts' expectations for improved fundamentals following recent positive litigation developments and ongoing earnings growth.Narrative Update • Sep 23
Clean Energy Buildout Will Achieve 80% Carbon-Free Generation
Analysts raised Xcel Energy’s price target slightly to $78.08, citing stronger-than-expected investment opportunities, above-peer earnings growth, and underappreciated long-term benefits from nuclear and renewables. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to Xcel's higher-than-expected investment opportunities, with potential rate base growth approaching 14% and earnings growth above 9%, making the current valuation attractive.Analysis Article • Jun 29
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Jun 11
Investors Met With Slowing Returns on Capital At Xcel Energy (NASDAQ:XEL)
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
Xcel Energy: Big Plans But At A Premium And Uncertainty Looms
Summary Xcel Energy reaffirms FY2025 EPS guidance of $3.75 to $3.85 despite missing Q1 EPS and revenue expectations due to high wildfire mitigation costs. The company has a $45 billion capital growth plan focused on renewable energy, but faces risks from fluctuating tariffs and regulatory uncertainty. Xcel Energy's stock has increased by 25.43% year to date, making it less attractive compared to peers; a hold rating is recommended. Ongoing wildfire litigations and high operational costs pose significant risks, but potential data center contracts and renewable projects offer growth opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 09
Xcel Energy: Buy This Undervalued Blue-Chip Utility Now
Summary Xcel Energy is expected to announce its 22nd consecutive annual dividend hike, showcasing its commitment to consistent dividend growth and shareholder value. XEL is positioned for 6%-8% annual EPS growth, supported by robust financials, investment-grade credit ratings, and a $45 billion capital spending plan through 2029. Despite recent revenue and EPS misses, XEL's long-term growth prospects remain strong, driven by significant solar projects and data center load growth. Trading at a 15% discount to fair value, XEL offers potential for low-double-digit annual total returns, making it a compelling buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 12
Xcel Energy: A Quality Dividend Grower To Buy Now
Summary Xcel Energy has outperformed the S&P 500 index since my last article co-produced for Brad Thomas in September. The electric and gas utility's $45 billion, five-year capital spending plan bodes well for future growth. XEL pays a safe and growing dividend to shareholders and is financially healthy. The stock could be priced at a 10% discount to fair value. XEL appears to be positioned for nearly 30% cumulative total returns through 2026. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 29
Xcel Energy: A Dividend Growth Stock On Sale Now
Summary Xcel Energy remains a buy due to its strong growth outlook, undervalued share price, and stable balance sheet. XEL's ongoing diluted EPS is projected to grow by 6% in 2024, with further growth anticipated through 2026. The utility's dividend is secure, with a low payout ratio and a 21-year growth streak, promising continued increases. Despite risks like legal liabilities and cyber threats, XEL's valuation and growth prospects offer compelling total return potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 27
Xcel Energy: Clean Energy Comes Natural For It
Summary Xcel Energy is a utility company providing electricity and natural gas to eight states, with a focus on clean energy transition. The company has successfully kept bills low for customers while growing revenue, leveraging its advantageous location for clean energy generation. Despite facing challenges with declining revenue and free cash flow, Xcel Energy remains a strong player in the utility industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 18,723 | 3,349 | -3,235 | 7,575 | 13 |
| 12/31/2027 | 17,325 | 2,923 | -6,798 | 6,827 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 15,785 | 2,559 | -6,390 | 6,419 | 12 |
| 3/31/2026 | 14,784 | 2,091 | -7,190 | 4,752 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 14,669 | 2,018 | -6,825 | 4,083 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 14,228 | 1,915 | -5,149 | 4,538 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 13,957 | 2,073 | -3,901 | 4,510 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 13,698 | 1,931 | -3,196 | 4,619 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 13,441 | 1,936 | -2,723 | 4,641 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 13,763 | 1,881 | -1,810 | 4,951 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 13,781 | 1,855 | -1,511 | 5,112 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 13,775 | 1,841 | -1,286 | 4,840 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 14,206 | 1,771 | -527 | 5,327 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 14,817 | 1,741 | -435 | 5,118 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 15,237 | 1,734 | -798 | 4,399 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 15,639 | 1,774 | -632 | 4,329 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 15,310 | 1,736 | -706 | 3,932 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 14,612 | 1,672 | -760 | 3,777 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 13,997 | 1,632 | -629 | 3,688 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 13,641 | 1,615 | -697 | 3,465 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 13,431 | 1,597 | -2,055 | 2,189 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 13,023 | 1,570 | -2,467 | 2,253 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 12,738 | 1,564 | -2,578 | 2,189 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 12,256 | 1,540 | -2,743 | 2,043 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 11,526 | 1,473 | -2,521 | 2,848 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 11,377 | 1,477 | -2,008 | 2,880 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 11,208 | 1,401 | -2,028 | 3,077 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 11,199 | 1,352 | -1,849 | 3,139 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 11,529 | 1,372 | N/A | 3,263 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 11,611 | 1,294 | N/A | 3,186 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 11,646 | 1,258 | N/A | 3,019 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 11,727 | 1,285 | N/A | 3,028 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 11,537 | 1,261 | N/A | 3,122 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 11,452 | 1,236 | N/A | 3,252 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 11,422 | 1,237 | N/A | 3,271 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 11,409 | 1,200 | N/A | 3,295 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 11,404 | 1,148 | N/A | 3,126 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 11,404 | 1,186 | N/A | 2,994 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 11,426 | 1,152 | N/A | 2,919 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 11,281 | 1,121 | N/A | 2,967 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 11,107 | 1,123 | N/A | 3,052 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 10,958 | 1,105 | N/A | 2,973 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 10,819 | 1,074 | N/A | 2,954 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 10,835 | 1,074 | N/A | 2,855 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 11,024 | 984 | N/A | 3,038 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 11,307 | 972 | N/A | 3,134 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 11,276 | 914 | N/A | 3,118 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: XEL's forecast earnings growth (12.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: XEL's earnings (12.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: XEL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: XEL's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: XEL's revenue (7.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: XEL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.3%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 17:23 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Xcel Energy Inc. is covered by 27 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gary Hovis | Argus Research Company |
| David Parker | Baird |
| Daniel Ford | Barclays |