Exelon Valuation

Is EXC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EXC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EXC ($36.27) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($42.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EXC is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EXC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EXC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.8x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EXC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EXC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.3x
PCG PG&E
15.5x10.8%US$35.5b
AEP American Electric Power Company
19.3x10.2%US$43.2b
XEL Xcel Energy
16.7x9.2%US$29.5b
EIX Edison International
21.8x13.9%US$26.4b
EXC Exelon
15.6x6.4%US$36.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EXC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EXC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EXC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the US Electric Utilities industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EXC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EXC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EXC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EXC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$36.27
US$38.63
+6.5%
3.4%US$41.12US$36.00n/a16
Apr ’25US$37.23
US$38.51
+3.4%
3.8%US$41.12US$36.00n/a16
Mar ’25US$35.49
US$38.32
+8.0%
4.2%US$41.12US$36.00n/a16
Feb ’25US$35.02
US$38.54
+10.0%
4.3%US$41.00US$36.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$35.90
US$40.21
+12.0%
7.2%US$47.00US$36.00n/a17
Dec ’24US$38.99
US$43.26
+11.0%
5.9%US$47.00US$39.00n/a17
Nov ’24US$39.53
US$43.68
+10.5%
5.2%US$47.00US$39.00n/a17
Oct ’24US$37.79
US$44.44
+17.6%
4.9%US$48.00US$39.00n/a17
Sep ’24US$39.99
US$44.74
+11.9%
4.8%US$48.00US$39.00n/a17
Aug ’24US$41.47
US$45.10
+8.8%
4.8%US$47.00US$39.00n/a16
Jul ’24US$40.74
US$44.98
+10.4%
4.8%US$47.00US$39.00n/a16
Jun ’24US$39.48
US$45.84
+16.1%
4.5%US$50.00US$41.00n/a15
May ’24US$43.18
US$45.96
+6.4%
4.7%US$50.00US$41.00n/a14
Apr ’24US$41.89
US$45.39
+8.4%
3.4%US$47.00US$41.00US$37.2314
Mar ’24US$39.75
US$45.70
+15.0%
4.0%US$49.00US$41.00US$35.4915
Feb ’24US$42.30
US$45.67
+8.0%
4.6%US$49.00US$41.00US$35.0215
Jan ’24US$43.23
US$44.07
+1.9%
7.7%US$49.00US$39.00US$35.9015
Dec ’23US$41.53
US$43.06
+3.7%
5.8%US$47.00US$39.00US$38.9916
Nov ’23US$38.76
US$43.69
+12.7%
6.6%US$50.00US$39.00US$39.5316
Oct ’23US$37.46
US$48.76
+30.2%
6.7%US$55.00US$41.00US$37.7917
Sep ’23US$44.45
US$48.88
+10.0%
7.0%US$55.00US$41.00US$39.9917
Aug ’23US$46.11
US$48.12
+4.4%
5.8%US$53.00US$41.00US$41.4717
Jul ’23US$46.07
US$48.65
+5.6%
6.8%US$54.00US$41.00US$40.7417
Jun ’23US$49.19
US$49.29
+0.2%
7.1%US$54.00US$41.00US$39.4817
May ’23US$46.78
US$50.18
+7.3%
9.9%US$61.00US$39.00US$43.1817
Apr ’23US$47.66
US$47.41
-0.5%
8.9%US$61.00US$39.00US$41.8917

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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