Stock Analysis
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- NasdaqGM:RGCO
RGC Resources, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RGCO) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit
RGC Resources, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RGCO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Gas Utilities industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for RGC Resources
What Does RGC Resources' Recent Performance Look Like?
RGC Resources has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on RGC Resources.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For RGC Resources?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like RGC Resources' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 21% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 5.8% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 59% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it concerning that RGC Resources is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for RGC Resources, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for RGC Resources (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on RGC Resources, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com
About NasdaqGM:RGCO
RGC Resources
Through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy services company.