Stock Analysis

NorthWestern (NASDAQ:NWE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.64

NasdaqGS:NWE
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NorthWestern Corporation's (NASDAQ:NWE) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.64 on 30th of June. This will take the annual payment to 4.3% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

Check out our latest analysis for NorthWestern

NorthWestern's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, NorthWestern's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings, and the company was also not generating any cash flow to offset this. Generally, we think that this would be a risky long term practice.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 16.6%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 73% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
NasdaqGS:NWE Historic Dividend May 2nd 2023

NorthWestern Has A Solid Track Record

Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from $1.48 total annually to $2.56. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 5.6% over that duration. The growth of the dividend has been pretty reliable, so we think this can offer investors some nice additional income in their portfolio.

NorthWestern May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Unfortunately things aren't as good as they seem. However, NorthWestern's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year.

An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 10% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Regularly doing this can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.

NorthWestern's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think NorthWestern will make a great income stock. In the past the payments have been stable, but we think the company is paying out too much for this to continue for the long term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, NorthWestern has 4 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about. Is NorthWestern not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.