Stock Analysis

Alliant Energy (NASDAQ:LNT) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

NasdaqGS:LNT
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Alliant Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:LNT) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Alliant Energy

How Much Debt Does Alliant Energy Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Alliant Energy had debt of US$9.34b, up from US$8.61b in one year. However, it does have US$206.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$9.13b.

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NasdaqGS:LNT Debt to Equity History November 28th 2023

How Strong Is Alliant Energy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Alliant Energy had liabilities of US$1.94b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$12.2b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$206.0m as well as receivables valued at US$486.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$13.5b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's massive market capitalization of US$12.7b, we think shareholders really should watch Alliant Energy's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 2.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8 hit our confidence in Alliant Energy like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Alliant Energy's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Alliant Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Alliant Energy saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Alliant Energy's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. It's also worth noting that Alliant Energy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We're quite clear that we consider Alliant Energy to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Alliant Energy you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.