Stock Analysis

Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure (NASDAQ:AY) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

NasdaqGS:AY
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure (NASDAQ:AY), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.03 = US$275m ÷ (US$9.8b - US$582m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

Thus, Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure has an ROCE of 3.0%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 3.7% average generated by the Renewable Energy industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure

roce
NasdaqGS:AY Return on Capital Employed July 12th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Can We Tell From Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure's ROCE Trend?

Things have been pretty stable at Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure to be a multi-bagger going forward. That being the case, it makes sense that Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure has been paying out 313% of its earnings to its shareholders. These mature businesses typically have reliable earnings and not many places to reinvest them, so the next best option is to put the earnings into shareholders pockets.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 112% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.

On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure that we think you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.