Nippon Express Holdings,Inc.

OTCPK:NPEH.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.3b

Nippon Express HoldingsInc Valuation

Is NPEH.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NPEH.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NPEH.F ($48.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($130.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NPEH.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NPEH.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NPEH.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.5x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NPEH.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NPEH.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.7x
HUBG Hub Group
22.9x14.3%US$2.7b
GXO GXO Logistics
42.1x35.3%US$5.9b
AAWW Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings
8.2x5.0%US$2.9b
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide
37.7x14.6%US$12.4b
NPEH.F Nippon Express HoldingsInc
27.6x21.6%US$636.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NPEH.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the peer average (34.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NPEH.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NPEH.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.6x) compared to the Global Logistics industry average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NPEH.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NPEH.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NPEH.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NPEH.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$57.42
0%
9.1%US$66.80US$49.08n/a8
Sep ’25n/a
US$57.33
0%
9.3%US$65.99US$48.48n/a8
Aug ’25n/a
US$56.17
0%
8.2%US$66.08US$50.97n/a8
Jul ’25n/a
US$56.17
0%
8.2%US$66.08US$50.97n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
US$56.80
0%
8.2%US$66.82US$51.55n/a8
May ’25n/a
US$58.93
0%
8.2%US$69.22US$53.40n/a8
Apr ’25n/a
US$60.23
0%
8.0%US$69.93US$53.95n/a7
Mar ’25US$52.50
US$60.23
+14.7%
8.0%US$69.93US$53.95n/a7
Feb ’25n/a
US$59.41
0%
9.0%US$69.37US$52.03n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
US$56.62
0%
9.0%US$67.45US$50.59n/a8
Dec ’24US$54.70
US$56.62
+3.5%
9.0%US$67.45US$50.59n/a8
Nov ’24n/a
US$57.71
0%
8.8%US$66.85US$50.14n/a9
Oct ’24n/a
US$57.71
0%
8.8%US$66.85US$50.14n/a9
Sep ’24n/a
US$58.93
0%
8.8%US$68.26US$51.19n/a9
Aug ’24n/a
US$63.37
0%
8.0%US$70.50US$57.10n/a9
Jul ’24n/a
US$63.37
0%
8.0%US$70.50US$57.10n/a9
Jun ’24US$56.98
US$64.27
+12.8%
7.8%US$71.76US$58.13n/a9
May ’24n/a
US$66.66
0%
6.7%US$74.05US$60.59n/a9
Apr ’24n/a
US$67.00
0%
6.6%US$74.25US$60.75n/a9
Mar ’24US$55.74
US$64.91
+16.5%
7.1%US$72.70US$58.74US$52.5010
Feb ’24n/a
US$71.06
0%
9.7%US$85.79US$63.18n/a9
Jan ’24n/a
US$66.69
0%
9.4%US$80.32US$59.14n/a9
Dec ’23n/a
US$67.17
0%
9.8%US$81.29US$59.86US$54.709
Nov ’23n/a
US$60.24
0%
9.3%US$73.25US$53.94n/a9
Oct ’23n/a
US$64.14
0%
8.3%US$76.97US$56.68n/a9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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