MTR Corporation Limited

OTCPK:MTRJ.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$22.6b

MTR Valuation

Is MTRJ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTRJ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTRJ.F ($3.97) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTRJ.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTRJ.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MTRJ.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.6x
PEG Ratio2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTRJ.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTRJ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.4x
NSC Norfolk Southern
25.1x12.9%US$61.3b
CSX CSX
19x5.7%US$70.4b
UNP Union Pacific
21.8x7.2%US$146.7b
DIDI.Y DiDi Global
167.6x45.5%US$23.3b
18.2x8.8%US$175.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTRJ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the peer average (58.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTRJ.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTRJ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (33.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTRJ.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTRJ.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.2x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MTRJ.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTRJ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$3.84
0%
13.2%US$4.45US$2.78n/a11
Nov ’25US$3.97
US$3.79
-4.5%
13.9%US$4.45US$2.78n/a11
Oct ’25n/a
US$3.63
0%
16.5%US$4.35US$2.56n/a11
Sep ’25US$3.54
US$3.62
+2.3%
16.6%US$4.35US$2.57n/a11
Aug ’25n/a
US$3.65
0%
19.6%US$4.93US$2.43n/a11
Jul ’25US$3.13
US$3.83
+22.3%
20.2%US$4.93US$2.56n/a11
Jun ’25US$3.27
US$3.87
+18.4%
18.5%US$4.93US$2.74n/a11
May ’25US$3.34
US$3.88
+16.5%
19.2%US$4.92US$2.73n/a10
Apr ’25US$3.36
US$3.89
+16.0%
19.1%US$4.92US$2.74n/a10
Mar ’25US$3.29
US$4.13
+25.6%
22.8%US$5.77US$2.73n/a10
Feb ’25US$3.30
US$4.87
+47.6%
24.0%US$6.41US$3.20n/a10
Jan ’25n/a
US$5.28
0%
19.5%US$6.42US$3.20n/a10
Dec ’24n/a
US$5.45
0%
14.4%US$6.43US$3.72n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
US$5.50
0%
13.6%US$6.40US$3.71US$3.9710
Oct ’24n/a
US$5.61
0%
9.6%US$6.41US$4.73n/a10
Sep ’24n/a
US$5.61
0%
9.6%US$6.41US$4.73US$3.5410
Aug ’24n/a
US$5.72
0%
11.1%US$6.54US$4.75n/a10
Jul ’24US$4.63
US$5.82
+25.8%
10.9%US$6.51US$4.72US$3.1310
Jun ’24n/a
US$5.82
0%
10.8%US$6.50US$4.72US$3.2710
May ’24n/a
US$5.82
0%
10.8%US$6.50US$4.72US$3.3410
Apr ’24n/a
US$5.82
0%
10.8%US$6.50US$4.72US$3.3610
Mar ’24US$4.91
US$5.94
+21.0%
8.9%US$6.54US$4.97US$3.2910
Feb ’24n/a
US$5.94
0%
9.0%US$6.54US$4.97US$3.3010
Jan ’24US$4.98
US$5.84
+17.2%
10.8%US$6.79US$4.76n/a10
Dec ’23n/a
US$5.73
0%
10.7%US$6.76US$4.74n/a9
Nov ’23US$4.31
US$5.83
+35.4%
10.5%US$6.73US$4.71n/a10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies