Hutchison Port Holdings Trust

OTCPK:HCTP.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.4b

Hutchison Port Holdings Trust Valuation

Is HCTP.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HCTP.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HCTP.F ($0.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HCTP.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HCTP.F?

Key metric: As HCTP.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HCTP.F. This is calculated by dividing HCTP.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HCTP.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35.4x
EarningsHK$296.69m
Market CapHK$10.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HCTP.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HCTP.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
ULH Universal Logistics Holdings
9.5x-6.7%US$1.3b
MRTN Marten Transport
40.9x19.5%US$1.4b
SBLK Star Bulk Carriers
9x16.1%US$2.4b
GOGL Golden Ocean Group
11.1x15.9%US$2.5b
HCTP.F Hutchison Port Holdings Trust
35.4x37.6%US$1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HCTP.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HCTP.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Infrastructure Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HCTP.F 35.4xIndustry Avg. 14.2xNo. of Companies40PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HCTP.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the Global Infrastructure industry average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HCTP.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HCTP.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HCTP.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HCTP.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$0.17
0%
23.1%US$0.22US$0.13n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.15
US$0.17
+11.2%
23.1%US$0.22US$0.13n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
US$0.17
0%
23.1%US$0.22US$0.13n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.17
0%
23.1%US$0.22US$0.13n/a3
Aug ’25US$0.12
US$0.14
+18.0%
7.1%US$0.15US$0.13n/a2
Jul ’25n/a
US$0.14
0%
3.5%US$0.15US$0.14n/a2
Jun ’25US$0.10
US$0.14
+45.0%
3.4%US$0.15US$0.14n/a2
May ’25US$0.13
US$0.14
+8.2%
3.4%US$0.15US$0.14n/a2
Apr ’25US$0.13
US$0.14
+14.6%
3.4%US$0.15US$0.14n/a2
Mar ’25US$0.11
US$0.14
+31.3%
3.4%US$0.15US$0.14n/a2
Feb ’25US$0.17
US$0.22
+29.5%
32.2%US$0.32US$0.17n/a3
Jan ’25US$0.17
US$0.22
+29.5%
32.2%US$0.32US$0.17n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
US$0.22
0%
32.2%US$0.32US$0.17n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
31.3%US$0.32US$0.17US$0.154
Oct ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
31.3%US$0.32US$0.17n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
31.3%US$0.32US$0.17n/a4
Aug ’24US$0.19
US$0.21
+10.4%
31.3%US$0.32US$0.17US$0.124
Jul ’24US$0.19
US$0.23
+21.7%
36.4%US$0.37US$0.17n/a4
Jun ’24US$0.17
US$0.23
+33.7%
36.4%US$0.37US$0.17US$0.104
May ’24US$0.17
US$0.23
+37.8%
36.4%US$0.37US$0.17US$0.134
Apr ’24n/a
US$0.23
0%
35.4%US$0.37US$0.17US$0.134
Mar ’24US$0.19
US$0.23
+23.1%
35.4%US$0.37US$0.17US$0.114
Feb ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
18.8%US$0.26US$0.17US$0.173
Jan ’24US$0.19
US$0.24
+26.0%
14.0%US$0.26US$0.19US$0.173
Dec ’23n/a
US$0.24
0%
16.2%US$0.28US$0.19n/a3
Nov ’23US$0.15
US$0.28
+84.5%
4.5%US$0.29US$0.26n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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