Cargojet Valuation
Is CGJT.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CGJT.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CGJT.F ($85.52) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($61.18)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CGJT.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CGJT.F?
Key metric: As CGJT.F is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is CGJT.F's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 2x |
| Sales | CA$929.50m |
| Market Cap | CA$1.90b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 12.4x |
| PEG Ratio | 12.7x |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does CGJT.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.7x | ||
ATSG Air Transport Services Group | 0.7x | 4.9% | US$1.4b |
FWRD Forward Air | 0.5x | 14.6% | US$1.0b |
HUBG Hub Group | 0.8x | 6.1% | US$3.2b |
AAWW Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings | 0.6x | 3.1% | US$2.9b |
CGJT.F Cargojet | 2x | 6.9% | US$1.9b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CGJT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does CGJT.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Logistics Industry?
| 4 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
BEST BEST | 0.04x | n/a | US$50.27m |
PSIG PS International Group | 0.1x | n/a | US$13.87m |
UNQL Unique Logistics International | 0.02x | n/a | US$4.40m |
TLSS Transportation and Logistics Systems | 0.0003x | n/a | US$5.89k |
| 4 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CGJT.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x) compared to the US Logistics industry average (0.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CGJT.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 2x |
| Fair PS Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CGJT.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | US$85.52 | US$115.72 +35.3% | 11.0% | US$135.31 | US$85.91 | n/a | 11 |
| Nov ’25 | US$97.67 | US$117.52 +20.3% | 11.2% | US$135.96 | US$86.33 | n/a | 11 |
| Oct ’25 | US$99.33 | US$118.14 +18.9% | 11.3% | US$137.60 | US$87.37 | n/a | 11 |
| Sep ’25 | US$95.07 | US$118.14 +24.3% | 11.3% | US$137.60 | US$87.37 | n/a | 11 |
| Aug ’25 | US$94.01 | US$115.78 +23.2% | 11.6% | US$136.84 | US$86.88 | n/a | 11 |
| Jul ’25 | US$95.81 | US$114.55 +19.6% | 10.7% | US$132.87 | US$87.61 | n/a | 11 |
| Jun ’25 | US$79.74 | US$109.91 +37.8% | 12.9% | US$133.76 | US$84.52 | n/a | 11 |
| May ’25 | US$84.49 | US$108.65 +28.6% | 12.3% | US$132.20 | US$83.53 | n/a | 12 |
| Apr ’25 | US$84.82 | US$108.43 +27.8% | 12.7% | US$135.18 | US$84.49 | n/a | 12 |
| Mar ’25 | US$82.99 | US$108.95 +31.3% | 12.7% | US$135.99 | US$84.99 | n/a | 12 |
| Feb ’25 | US$90.42 | US$108.48 +20.0% | 12.8% | US$136.49 | US$81.60 | n/a | 12 |
| Jan ’25 | US$87.48 | US$101.16 +15.6% | 20.3% | US$139.61 | US$74.66 | n/a | 12 |
| Dec ’24 | US$75.00 | US$97.63 +30.2% | 20.1% | US$135.49 | US$72.45 | n/a | 12 |
| Nov ’24 | US$57.06 | US$103.20 +80.9% | 17.5% | US$136.55 | US$80.32 | US$97.67 | 12 |
| Oct ’24 | US$65.75 | US$105.68 +60.7% | 17.1% | US$138.44 | US$81.44 | US$99.33 | 12 |
| Sep ’24 | US$70.63 | US$107.20 +51.8% | 18.3% | US$146.32 | US$81.70 | US$95.07 | 12 |
| Aug ’24 | US$71.46 | US$112.50 +57.4% | 19.5% | US$153.38 | US$83.52 | US$94.01 | 12 |
| Jul ’24 | US$67.34 | US$113.30 +68.3% | 19.3% | US$151.74 | US$82.63 | US$95.81 | 12 |
| Jun ’24 | US$76.69 | US$111.03 +44.8% | 18.9% | US$148.29 | US$84.42 | US$79.74 | 12 |
| May ’24 | US$74.46 | US$115.53 +55.1% | 17.9% | US$149.11 | US$87.11 | US$84.49 | 12 |
| Apr ’24 | US$83.40 | US$123.03 +47.5% | 19.0% | US$167.98 | US$87.26 | US$84.82 | 11 |
| Mar ’24 | US$88.30 | US$138.25 +56.6% | 14.8% | US$183.68 | US$104.11 | US$82.99 | 11 |
| Feb ’24 | US$94.50 | US$139.91 +48.0% | 15.4% | US$184.53 | US$104.59 | US$90.42 | 11 |
| Jan ’24 | US$86.60 | US$146.32 +69.0% | 16.0% | US$200.63 | US$110.64 | US$87.48 | 11 |
| Dec ’23 | US$100.23 | US$146.31 +46.0% | 15.0% | US$199.62 | US$115.96 | US$75.00 | 11 |
| Nov ’23 | US$98.70 | US$146.31 +48.2% | 15.0% | US$199.62 | US$115.96 | US$57.06 | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.