GXO Logistics, Inc.

NYSE:GXO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.1b

GXO Logistics Valuation

Is GXO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GXO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GXO ($43.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($59.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GXO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GXO?

Key metric: As GXO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GXO. This is calculated by dividing GXO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GXO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio48.2x
EarningsUS$107.00m
Market CapUS$5.11b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GXO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GXO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.4x
AAWW Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings
8.2x5.0%US$2.9b
HUBG Hub Group
25x15.1%US$2.7b
ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman)
13.1x12.4%US$15.9b
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide
35.2x16.9%US$12.3b
GXO GXO Logistics
48.2x44.7%US$5.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GXO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.2x) compared to the peer average (24.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GXO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Logistics Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GXO 48.2xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies33PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GXO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.2x) compared to the Global Logistics industry average (16.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GXO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GXO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio48.2x
Fair PE Ratio27.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GXO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GXO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$43.14
US$68.00
+57.6%
12.6%US$83.00US$52.00n/a15
Dec ’25US$60.83
US$69.68
+14.6%
10.4%US$83.00US$52.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$58.58
US$67.68
+15.5%
11.9%US$82.00US$52.00n/a16
Oct ’25US$50.71
US$67.20
+32.5%
12.9%US$82.00US$52.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$50.05
US$67.33
+34.5%
13.1%US$82.00US$52.00n/a15
Aug ’25US$54.37
US$68.20
+25.4%
13.3%US$82.00US$51.00n/a15
Jul ’25US$49.79
US$68.00
+36.6%
13.5%US$82.00US$51.00n/a15
Jun ’25US$50.23
US$68.71
+36.8%
13.3%US$82.00US$51.00n/a14
May ’25US$49.27
US$68.31
+38.6%
13.0%US$80.00US$50.00n/a13
Apr ’25US$52.63
US$68.31
+29.8%
12.7%US$80.00US$50.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$50.93
US$68.07
+33.7%
12.4%US$80.00US$50.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$54.99
US$68.38
+24.3%
10.4%US$80.00US$53.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$61.16
US$68.13
+11.4%
10.1%US$80.00US$53.00n/a16
Dec ’24US$58.15
US$68.25
+17.4%
10.0%US$80.00US$53.00US$60.8316
Nov ’24US$50.33
US$72.19
+43.4%
9.6%US$80.00US$53.00US$58.5816
Oct ’24US$58.65
US$72.69
+23.9%
9.6%US$80.00US$53.00US$50.7116
Sep ’24US$65.21
US$72.76
+11.6%
9.3%US$81.00US$53.00US$50.0517
Aug ’24US$66.20
US$68.31
+3.2%
11.2%US$81.00US$47.00US$54.3716
Jul ’24US$62.82
US$65.06
+3.6%
11.0%US$75.00US$47.00US$49.7916
Jun ’24US$57.46
US$63.00
+9.6%
9.6%US$73.00US$47.00US$50.2316
May ’24US$53.23
US$60.40
+13.5%
10.2%US$73.00US$47.00US$49.2715
Apr ’24US$50.46
US$60.27
+19.4%
10.1%US$73.00US$47.00US$52.6315
Mar ’24US$50.41
US$60.33
+19.7%
10.3%US$74.00US$47.00US$50.9315
Feb ’24US$54.73
US$58.33
+6.6%
14.2%US$74.00US$40.00US$54.9915
Jan ’24US$42.69
US$52.13
+22.1%
14.1%US$67.00US$40.00US$61.1615
Dec ’23US$46.35
US$54.87
+18.4%
19.4%US$75.00US$40.00US$58.1515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 22:35
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

GXO Logistics, Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Robert JoynsonBNP Paribas Exane
Hugo WatkinsBNP Paribas Exane