Air Canada

OTCPK:ACDV.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.1b

Air Canada Valuation

Is ACDV.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ACDV.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: ACDV.F ($13.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($60.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACDV.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACDV.F?

Key metric: As ACDV.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ACDV.F. This is calculated by dividing ACDV.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ACDV.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesCA$22.01b
Market CapCA$5.72b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ACDV.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ACDV.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
SKYW SkyWest
1x3.96%US$4.0b
CPA Copa Holdings
1.5x8.59%US$5.4b
ALK Alaska Air Group
0.4x6.07%US$5.8b
AERO Grupo Aeroméxico. de
0.6x4.34%US$3.0b
ACDV.F Air Canada
0.3x4.27%US$5.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ACDV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ACDV.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Airlines Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAVE.Q Spirit Airlines
0.01x2.70%US$50.71m
NOKP.F Nok Airlines
0.1xn/aUS$22.38m
FLYY.Q Spirit Aviation Holdings
0.001xn/aUS$5.50m
SOAR Volato Group
0.08xn/aUS$4.74m
ACDV.F 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ACDV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the North American Airlines industry average (0.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACDV.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACDV.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ACDV.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACDV.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$13.97
US$17.51
+25.36%
14.11%US$23.06US$12.83n/a16
Jan ’27US$14.03
US$17.56
+25.19%
14.35%US$23.19US$12.90n/a16
Dec ’26US$13.64
US$17.31
+26.92%
14.35%US$22.86US$12.71n/a16
Nov ’26US$13.13
US$17.32
+31.92%
13.99%US$22.82US$12.41n/a15
Oct ’26US$12.69
US$17.52
+38.07%
14.17%US$22.95US$12.48n/a15
Sep ’26US$14.21
US$18.47
+29.95%
12.50%US$23.30US$12.67n/a15
Aug ’26US$13.84
US$18.43
+33.17%
13.52%US$23.19US$13.05n/a16
Jul ’26US$15.52
US$17.43
+12.28%
16.38%US$22.76US$11.75n/a17
Jun ’26US$14.00
US$17.29
+23.52%
16.38%US$22.59US$11.66n/a17
May ’26US$10.21
US$16.22
+58.90%
22.11%US$23.21US$8.71n/a17
Apr ’26US$10.04
US$16.99
+69.19%
19.67%US$22.36US$8.39n/a17
Mar ’26US$11.56
US$17.45
+50.94%
18.12%US$23.51US$11.89n/a17
Feb ’26US$13.49
US$19.12
+41.75%
14.84%US$23.76US$12.02n/a17
Jan ’26US$15.44
US$19.10
+23.71%
15.23%US$23.68US$11.98US$14.0317
Dec ’25US$17.77
US$18.78
+5.70%
13.68%US$24.26US$12.27US$13.6418
Nov ’25US$15.43
US$16.95
+9.85%
17.00%US$22.93US$12.32US$13.1318
Oct ’25US$11.94
US$16.77
+40.47%
22.71%US$26.79US$9.68US$12.6917
Sep ’25US$11.45
US$16.51
+44.22%
22.70%US$26.21US$9.46US$14.2117
Aug ’25US$11.16
US$16.87
+51.13%
24.55%US$29.69US$10.36US$13.8417
Jul ’25US$12.86
US$20.00
+55.50%
23.12%US$29.96US$10.45US$15.5217
Jun ’25US$13.35
US$20.43
+53.03%
22.07%US$30.04US$10.48US$14.0016
May ’25US$14.87
US$20.58
+38.38%
22.23%US$29.74US$10.16US$10.2116
Apr ’25US$14.80
US$20.97
+41.66%
22.10%US$30.27US$10.34US$10.0416
Mar ’25US$13.38
US$21.26
+58.89%
22.46%US$30.41US$10.38US$11.5615
Feb ’25US$13.61
US$21.52
+58.14%
21.57%US$31.24US$11.16US$13.4915
Jan ’25US$14.12
US$20.62
+46.06%
21.84%US$30.29US$10.82US$15.4415
US$17.48
Fair Value
20.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
16
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/13 09:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/12 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Air Canada is covered by 34 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher MurrayATB Capital Markets
Ahmad ShaathBeacon Securities Limited
Fadi ChamounBMO Capital Markets Equity Research