Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s (NYSE:YMM) Prospects

NYSE:YMM
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Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s (NYSE:YMM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.7x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Transportation industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 0.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Full Truck Alliance

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:YMM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Full Truck Alliance Performed Recently?

Full Truck Alliance certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Full Truck Alliance will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Full Truck Alliance's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 27% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 240% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% per year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 9.7% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Full Truck Alliance is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Full Truck Alliance's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Full Truck Alliance with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of Full Truck Alliance's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.