Delta Air Lines' (NYSE:DAL) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Delta Air Lines, Inc.'s (NYSE:DAL) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

For anyone who wants to understand Delta Air Lines' profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from US$736m worth of unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Delta Air Lines' Profit Performance

Arguably, Delta Air Lines' statutory earnings have been distorted by unusual items boosting profit. Because of this, we think that it may be that Delta Air Lines' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Delta Air Lines at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Delta Air Lines you should be mindful of and 1 of them can't be ignored.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Delta Air Lines' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.