Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULH) Earnings Yet

Published
NasdaqGS:ULH

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULH) as a highly attractive investment with its 8.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

There hasn't been much to differentiate Universal Logistics Holdings' and the market's retreating earnings lately. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings may begin to slide even faster. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. At the very least, you'd be hoping that earnings don't fall off a cliff if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Universal Logistics Holdings

NasdaqGS:ULH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 30th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Universal Logistics Holdings.

Is There Any Growth For Universal Logistics Holdings?

Universal Logistics Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.5%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 69% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 7.7% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 13% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Universal Logistics Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Universal Logistics Holdings' P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Universal Logistics Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Universal Logistics Holdings that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.