Stock Analysis

Potential Upside For Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULCC) Not Without Risk

NasdaqGS:ULCC
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It's not a stretch to say that Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ULCC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Airlines industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Frontier Group Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ULCC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Frontier Group Holdings Performed Recently?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Frontier Group Holdings' and the industry's revenue growth lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to show no drastic signs of changing, justifying the P/S being at current levels. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Frontier Group Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Frontier Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 120% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 5.2%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Frontier Group Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Frontier Group Holdings' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Frontier Group Holdings' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Frontier Group Holdings (including 1 which is potentially serious).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.