Stock Analysis

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ:ODFL)?

NasdaqGS:ODFL
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Let's talk about the popular Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ:ODFL). The company's shares saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$436 and falling to the lows of US$368. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Old Dominion Freight Line's current trading price of US$377 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Old Dominion Freight Line’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Old Dominion Freight Line

What Is Old Dominion Freight Line Worth?

According to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 33.17x is currently well-above the industry average of 16.23x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Old Dominion Freight Line’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Old Dominion Freight Line generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:ODFL Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Old Dominion Freight Line's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 40%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? ODFL’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe ODFL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on ODFL for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ODFL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Diving deeper into the forecasts for Old Dominion Freight Line mentioned earlier will help you understand how analysts view the stock going forward. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.