Lyft, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LYFT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.6b

Lyft Valuation

Is LYFT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LYFT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$41.45
Fair Value
67.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
38
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LYFT ($13.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($41.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LYFT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LYFT?

Key metric: As LYFT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LYFT. This is calculated by dividing LYFT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LYFT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$5.46b
Market CapUS$5.62b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LYFT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LYFT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
CAR Avis Budget Group
0.3x2.0%US$3.2b
DIDI.Y DiDi Global
0.8x9.0%US$22.5b
HTZ Hertz Global Holdings
0.1x1.6%US$1.3b
GRAB Grab Holdings
6.9x14.8%US$18.4b
LYFT Lyft
1x11.1%US$5.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LYFT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LYFT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CAR Avis Budget Group
0.3x2.0%US$3.15b
HTZ Hertz Global Holdings
0.1x1.6%US$1.27b
DSKE Daseke
0.2xn/aUS$391.76m
USX U.S. Xpress Enterprises
0.2x3.1%US$322.82m
LYFT 1.0xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies11PS01.63.24.86.48+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LYFT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LYFT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LYFT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio1.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LYFT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LYFT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$13.54
US$18.86
+39.3%
14.5%US$26.00US$14.00n/a38
Jan ’26US$12.90
US$19.46
+50.9%
13.4%US$26.00US$15.30n/a37
Dec ’25US$17.36
US$19.27
+11.0%
13.6%US$26.00US$15.21n/a37
Nov ’25US$13.48
US$15.41
+14.3%
22.7%US$26.00US$10.00n/a36
Oct ’25US$12.49
US$15.26
+22.2%
24.6%US$26.00US$10.00n/a34
Sep ’25US$11.67
US$15.17
+30.0%
25.3%US$26.00US$10.00n/a34
Aug ’25US$11.42
US$19.21
+68.2%
15.3%US$26.00US$13.50n/a35
Jul ’25US$13.97
US$19.52
+39.8%
13.3%US$26.00US$15.00n/a35
Jun ’25US$15.61
US$18.97
+21.5%
13.4%US$25.00US$15.00n/a35
May ’25US$15.86
US$17.04
+7.4%
19.1%US$25.00US$12.00n/a36
Apr ’25US$19.24
US$16.65
-13.4%
18.8%US$25.00US$12.00n/a35
Mar ’25US$16.35
US$16.20
-0.9%
16.5%US$25.00US$12.00n/a35
Feb ’25US$12.89
US$13.72
+6.4%
23.4%US$25.00US$10.00US$13.5435
Jan ’25US$14.99
US$13.07
-12.8%
25.0%US$25.00US$9.75US$12.9034
Dec ’24US$13.14
US$12.70
-3.3%
25.9%US$25.00US$9.75US$17.3634
Nov ’24US$9.17
US$12.31
+34.2%
26.4%US$25.00US$9.00US$13.4833
Oct ’24US$10.54
US$12.31
+16.8%
26.4%US$25.00US$9.00US$12.4933
Sep ’24US$12.34
US$12.45
+0.9%
27.5%US$25.00US$7.60US$11.6734
Aug ’24US$12.23
US$12.31
+0.7%
40.6%US$32.00US$7.60US$11.4235
Jul ’24US$9.59
US$11.91
+24.2%
40.9%US$32.00US$7.60US$13.9734
Jun ’24US$9.36
US$12.03
+28.5%
40.8%US$32.00US$7.60US$15.6133
May ’24US$10.59
US$14.23
+34.4%
37.2%US$34.00US$10.00US$15.8631
Apr ’24US$9.27
US$14.58
+57.3%
37.1%US$34.00US$10.00US$19.2431
Mar ’24US$9.90
US$14.49
+46.4%
37.1%US$34.00US$10.00US$16.3532
Feb ’24US$16.90
US$21.75
+28.7%
52.1%US$60.00US$11.00US$12.8936
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 38 Analysts
US$18.86
Fair Value
28.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
38
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/02 02:58
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lyft, Inc. is covered by 71 analysts. 41 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Oliver LesterArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
null nullArgus Research Company