Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For JetBlue Airways Corporation's (NASDAQ:JBLU) Shares

NasdaqGS:JBLU
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It's not a stretch to say that JetBlue Airways Corporation's (NASDAQ:JBLU) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Airlines industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for JetBlue Airways

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:JBLU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 31st 2023

What Does JetBlue Airways' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for JetBlue Airways as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on JetBlue Airways.

How Is JetBlue Airways' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, JetBlue Airways would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 124% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 1.1% as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.7% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that JetBlue Airways' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does JetBlue Airways' P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our check of JetBlue Airways' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for JetBlue Airways (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.