Stock Analysis

JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ:JBLU) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NasdaqGS:JBLU
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, JetBlue Airways Corporation (NASDAQ:JBLU) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for JetBlue Airways

How Much Debt Does JetBlue Airways Carry?

As you can see below, JetBlue Airways had US$3.78b of debt at September 2021, down from US$4.54b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$3.29b, its net debt is less, at about US$483.0m.

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NasdaqGS:JBLU Debt to Equity History December 21st 2021

A Look At JetBlue Airways' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that JetBlue Airways had liabilities of US$3.57b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$6.55b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$3.29b and US$210.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$6.62b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$4.34b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, JetBlue Airways would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine JetBlue Airways's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, JetBlue Airways reported revenue of US$4.9b, which is a gain of 12%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months JetBlue Airways produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$1.3b at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$426m. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. When I consider a company to be a bit risky, I think it is responsible to check out whether insiders have been reporting any share sales. Luckily, you can click here ito see our graphic depicting JetBlue Airways insider transactions.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.