Stock Analysis

Here's Why EuroDry (NASDAQ:EDRY) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NasdaqCM:EDRY
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies EuroDry Ltd. (NASDAQ:EDRY) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for EuroDry

What Is EuroDry's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 EuroDry had US$74.9m of debt, an increase on US$55.8m, over one year. However, it also had US$11.4m in cash, and so its net debt is US$63.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:EDRY Debt to Equity History July 22nd 2022

A Look At EuroDry's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that EuroDry had liabilities of US$17.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$62.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$11.4m as well as receivables valued at US$4.34m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$63.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$51.3m, we think shareholders really should watch EuroDry's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

EuroDry has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 22.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that EuroDry grew its EBIT by 2,724% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if EuroDry can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Considering the last three years, EuroDry actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

While EuroDry's level of total liabilities has us nervous. For example, its interest cover and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that EuroDry is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for EuroDry (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.