Allegiant Travel Company

NasdaqGS:ALGT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.8b

Allegiant Travel Valuation

Is ALGT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALGT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: Insufficient data to calculate ALGT's future cash flow value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: Insufficient data to calculate ALGT's future cash flow value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALGT?

Key metric: As ALGT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALGT. This is calculated by dividing ALGT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALGT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio106.9x
EarningsUS$25.99m
Market CapUS$2.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALGT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALGT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
AERO Grupo Aeroméxico. de
11x31.70%US$2.4b
SKYW SkyWest
11x9.14%US$4.5b
CPA Copa Holdings
8.7x12.88%US$6.0b
RJET Republic Airways Holdings
14.5xn/aUS$1.0b
ALGT Allegiant Travel
106.9x76.75%US$2.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALGT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.9x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALGT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALGT 106.9xIndustry Avg. 11.8xNo. of Companies8PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALGT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.9x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALGT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALGT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio106.9x
Fair PE Ratio71.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALGT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (106.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (71.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALGT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$103.99
US$138.43
+33.12%
11.22%US$165.00US$111.00n/a14
Jul ’27US$119.16
US$115.77
-2.85%
18.93%US$156.00US$85.00n/a13
Jun ’27US$89.16
US$99.82
+11.95%
10.02%US$120.00US$85.00n/a11
May ’27US$75.02
US$101.18
+34.87%
9.47%US$120.00US$85.00n/a11
Apr ’27US$83.12
US$106.64
+28.29%
10.08%US$125.00US$90.00n/a11
Mar ’27US$102.15
US$114.27
+11.87%
8.09%US$130.00US$100.00n/a11
Feb ’27US$88.63
US$100.18
+13.03%
10.42%US$120.00US$85.00n/a11
Jan ’27US$85.27
US$80.08
-6.08%
21.01%US$105.00US$55.00n/a12
Dec ’26US$75.91
US$69.58
-8.33%
15.52%US$85.00US$55.00n/a12
Nov ’26US$62.18
US$67.67
+8.82%
14.20%US$85.00US$55.00n/a12
Oct ’26US$59.47
US$64.92
+9.16%
18.46%US$85.00US$50.00n/a12
Sep ’26US$62.66
US$60.75
-3.05%
20.52%US$80.00US$45.00n/a12
Aug ’26US$48.12
US$61.67
+28.15%
20.73%US$83.00US$45.00US$98.0812
Jul ’26US$58.37
US$61.58
+5.51%
21.09%US$85.00US$45.00US$119.1612
Jun ’26US$55.58
US$61.75
+11.10%
21.39%US$85.00US$45.00US$89.1612
May ’26US$47.72
US$62.42
+30.80%
28.83%US$93.00US$35.00US$75.0212
Apr ’26US$50.85
US$95.25
+87.32%
17.44%US$125.00US$61.00US$83.1212
Mar ’26US$73.50
US$99.33
+35.15%
11.17%US$125.00US$87.00US$102.1512
Feb ’26US$102.43
US$95.25
-7.01%
7.56%US$110.00US$82.00US$88.6312
Jan ’26US$94.12
US$81.25
-13.67%
18.83%US$110.00US$54.00US$85.2712
Dec ’25US$81.84
US$71.08
-13.14%
18.91%US$90.00US$50.00US$75.9112
Nov ’25US$63.01
US$59.60
-5.41%
20.86%US$80.00US$45.00US$62.1810
Oct ’25US$56.41
US$54.50
-3.39%
30.56%US$87.00US$33.00US$59.4710
Sep ’25US$42.08
US$54.50
+29.52%
30.56%US$87.00US$33.00US$62.6610
Aug ’25US$49.83
US$57.70
+15.79%
25.29%US$87.00US$39.00US$48.1210
US$138.43
Fair Value
24.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/08/05 04:17
End of Day Share Price 2026/08/05 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Allegiant Travel Company is covered by 24 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Garrett ChaseBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Andrew DidoraBofA Global Research