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Some Investors May Be Worried About Allegiant Travel's (NASDAQ:ALGT) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Allegiant Travel, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.043 = US$145m ÷ (US$4.2b - US$888m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
Therefore, Allegiant Travel has an ROCE of 4.3%. On its own, that's a low figure but it's around the 4.5% average generated by the Airlines industry.
View our latest analysis for Allegiant Travel
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Allegiant Travel compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From Allegiant Travel's ROCE Trend?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Allegiant Travel doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 4.3% from 25% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
The Bottom Line
While returns have fallen for Allegiant Travel in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. However, total returns to shareholders over the last five years have been flat, which could indicate these growth trends potentially aren't accounted for yet by investors. So we think it'd be worthwhile to look further into this stock given the trends look encouraging.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Allegiant Travel (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:ALGT
Allegiant Travel
A leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.
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