Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:TDS) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

There wouldn't be many who think Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.'s (NYSE:TDS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Wireless Telecom industry in the United States is very similar. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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See our latest analysis for Telephone and Data Systems

What Does Telephone and Data Systems' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Telephone and Data Systems hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Keen to find out how analysts think Telephone and Data Systems' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Telephone and Data Systems' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.8%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 6.8% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.1% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 4.9% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Telephone and Data Systems' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Telephone and Data Systems' P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

While Telephone and Data Systems' P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If we consider the revenue outlook, the P/S seems to indicate that potential investors may be paying a premium for the stock.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Telephone and Data Systems that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.