Stock Analysis

Liberty Latin America (NasdaqGS:LILA): Evaluating Valuation as Share Price Slides Despite Solid Financial Performance

Liberty Latin America (NasdaqGS:LILA) has seen notable movement in its stock price recently. Over the past month, shares have slipped 6%, even as the company delivered solid annual revenue growth and a sharp rebound in net income.

See our latest analysis for Liberty Latin America.

Looking at the bigger picture, Liberty Latin America’s 1-year total shareholder return is down more than 20%. This comes even after a strong rally earlier this year and a solid 21% share price return year-to-date. While recent momentum has cooled, the company’s long-term outlook continues to attract investors assessing both its growth prospects and risk profile.

If Liberty Latin America’s recent swings make you wonder what else is gaining traction, now is a great moment to broaden your watchlist and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

But with the shares still trading at a discount to analyst price targets despite recent gains, the real question emerges: is Liberty Latin America an overlooked value play, or has the market already factored in any upside?

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Most Popular Narrative: 26.9% Undervalued

Compared to the last close price of $7.77, the most widely followed narrative sees Liberty Latin America as trading at a healthy discount to its fair value estimate of $10.63. This suggests optimism around future profitability, but also highlights underlying assumptions driving the forecast.

Ongoing operational efficiency initiatives, such as labor cost reductions, AI-driven process optimization, and disciplined capital intensity management, are expected to drive adjusted OIBDA margin expansion and improve free cash flow generation. Successful execution of network modernization projects (fiber rollouts, upgrades to DOCSIS 3.1, new spectrum deployments) and fixed-mobile convergence strategies are enabling higher-margin service bundles, which support revenue growth and increased customer retention.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what big, bold assumptions power that optimistic fair value? The real secret is buried in forecasts for profitability, razor-sharp margins, and a shift to bundled services. There is a surprisingly aggressive growth curve behind the headline target. Are you ready to see how the numbers stack up?

Result: Fair Value of $10.63 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistently high debt levels or unexpected downturns in broadband revenues could quickly undermine the bullish case for Liberty Latin America's upside.

Find out about the key risks to this Liberty Latin America narrative.

Build Your Own Liberty Latin America Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to run your own numbers, you can craft a personalized Liberty Latin America narrative in just minutes. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Liberty Latin America.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:LILA

Liberty Latin America

Provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services in Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Barbados, Curacao, Chile, and internationally.

Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.

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