At US$23.95, Is Vishay Precision Group, Inc. (NYSE:VPG) Worth Looking At Closely?
While Vishay Precision Group, Inc. (NYSE:VPG) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$34.33 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$23.95. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Vishay Precision Group's current trading price of US$23.95 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Vishay Precision Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for Vishay Precision Group
What Is Vishay Precision Group Worth?
According to our valuation model, Vishay Precision Group seems to be fairly priced at around 1.39% above our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Vishay Precision Group today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $23.62, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Vishay Precision Group’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What kind of growth will Vishay Precision Group generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -16% expected next year, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Vishay Precision Group. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? VPG seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on VPG for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on VPG should the price fluctuate below its true value.
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Vishay Precision Group at this point in time. For example, Vishay Precision Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:VPG
Vishay Precision Group
Designs, manufactures, and markets specialized sensors, weighing solutions, and measurement systems in the United States, Israel, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Asia, and Canada.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.