Stock Analysis

PAR Technology Corporation's (NYSE:PAR) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

NYSE:PAR
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PAR Technology Corporation's (NYSE:PAR) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.8x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.9x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for PAR Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:PAR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 17th 2024

How PAR Technology Has Been Performing

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, PAR Technology has been doing quite well of late. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader industry headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think PAR Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For PAR Technology?

PAR Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 30% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 80% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 7.7% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 9.1%.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that PAR Technology's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From PAR Technology's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of PAR Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its shrinking revenue outlook isn't drawing down its high P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. In cases like this where we see revenue decline on the horizon, we suspect the share price is at risk of following suit, bringing back the high P/S into the realms of suitability. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with PAR Technology.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on PAR Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.