Stock Analysis

Methode Electronics, Inc. (NYSE:MEI) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 45%

NYSE:MEI
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Methode Electronics, Inc. (NYSE:MEI) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 45% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 71% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Methode Electronics may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Methode Electronics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MEI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 20th 2024

What Does Methode Electronics' Recent Performance Look Like?

Methode Electronics' negative revenue growth of late has neither been better nor worse than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to deteriorate further, which has kept the P/S suppressed. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. In saying that, existing shareholders may feel hopeful about the share price if the company's revenue continues tracking the industry.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Methode Electronics.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Methode Electronics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.5% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 14% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 6.8% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 2.9%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Methode Electronics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Methode Electronics' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Methode Electronics' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Methode Electronics (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Methode Electronics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.