Stock Analysis

At US$25.91, Is It Time To Put Juniper Networks, Inc. (NYSE:JNPR) On Your Watch List?

NYSE:JNPR
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While Juniper Networks, Inc. (NYSE:JNPR) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NYSE over the last few months, increasing to US$30.38 at one point, and dropping to the lows of US$25.81. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Juniper Networks' current trading price of US$25.91 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Juniper Networks’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Our analysis indicates that JNPR is potentially undervalued!

What Is Juniper Networks Worth?

According to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average, the stock price seems to be justfied. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 21.38x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 22.6x, which means if you buy Juniper Networks today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Juniper Networks should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Furthermore, Juniper Networks’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This may mean it is less likely for the stock to fall lower from natural market volatility, which suggests less opportunities to buy moving forward.

What kind of growth will Juniper Networks generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:JNPR Earnings and Revenue Growth October 13th 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Juniper Networks' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 33%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? JNPR’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at JNPR? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on JNPR, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for JNPR, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Juniper Networks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.