Stock Analysis

Dell Technologies Inc. Just Recorded A 15% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

NYSE:DELL
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Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE:DELL) just released its quarterly report and things are looking bullish. Dell Technologies beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$25b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 15%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

See our latest analysis for Dell Technologies

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NYSE:DELL Earnings and Revenue Growth September 14th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Dell Technologies' 21 analysts is for revenues of US$97.5b in 2025. This reflects a credible 6.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$5.76, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$97.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$5.59 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$146, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Dell Technologies analyst has a price target of US$220 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$106. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Dell Technologies' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 13% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 1.1% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.7% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Dell Technologies to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Dell Technologies' earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Dell Technologies. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Dell Technologies going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Dell Technologies that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.