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Should You Be Adding Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) To Your Watchlist Today?
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it currently lacks a track record of revenue and profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.
If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI). Now this is not to say that the company presents the best investment opportunity around, but profitability is a key component to success in business.
View our latest analysis for Super Micro Computer
Super Micro Computer's Improving Profits
Over the last three years, Super Micro Computer has grown earnings per share (EPS) at as impressive rate from a relatively low point, resulting in a three year percentage growth rate that isn't particularly indicative of expected future performance. So it would be better to isolate the growth rate over the last year for our analysis. Super Micro Computer's EPS has risen over the last 12 months, growing from US$11.06 to US$12.51. That's a 13% gain; respectable growth in the broader scheme of things.
It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. While we note Super Micro Computer achieved similar EBIT margins to last year, revenue grew by a solid 39% to US$9.3b. That's encouraging news for the company!
The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.
You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Super Micro Computer's future profits.
Are Super Micro Computer Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
Since Super Micro Computer has a market capitalisation of US$53b, we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a large percentage of shares. But we do take comfort from the fact that they are investors in the company. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$7.5b. That equates to 14% of the company, making insiders powerful and aligned with other shareholders. Looking very optimistic for investors.
While it's always good to see some strong conviction in the company from insiders through heavy investment, it's also important for shareholders to ask if management compensation policies are reasonable. Well, based on the CEO pay, you'd argue that they are indeed. For companies with market capitalisations over US$8.0b, like Super Micro Computer, the median CEO pay is around US$13m.
The Super Micro Computer CEO received total compensation of only US$1.0 in the year to June 2023. This could be considered a token amount, and indicates that the company does not need to use payment to motivate the CEO - that is often a good sign. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.
Is Super Micro Computer Worth Keeping An Eye On?
One important encouraging feature of Super Micro Computer is that it is growing profits. Earnings growth might be the main attraction for Super Micro Computer, but the fun does not stop there. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Super Micro Computer (2 are a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in the US with promising growth potential and insider confidence.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:SMCI
Super Micro Computer
Develops and sells server and storage solutions based on modular and open-standard architecture in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally.
Undervalued with high growth potential.
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Trending Discussion
Looks interesting, I am jumping into the finances now. Your 15% margin seems high for a conservative model, can't just ignore the years they need to invest. You didnt seem to mention that they had to dilute the sharebase by issuing ~40mil shares. raising ~8 mil. should be enough if mouse does OK. If not they will need to raise more to suvive. Losing 20m a year, 14m after there 6m cutbacks. Am I reading it right that they have no debt. have they any history of raising debt? First look it is too dependant on the mouse and GoT games. they do well stock will 2-3x, poorly and it will drop. I am not sure I agree with your work for hire backstop. Unlikely meta horizons will continue with the same size contract going forward. say 10% margins and 15x multiple on 30m. that is 45m, which with the new sharecount is 10c. It is a backstop but maybe not that strong. Mouse fails and devs could start jumping ship and outside contracts could dry up. Hmm on top of all that AI could be disrupting the work for hire model. I think I have mostly talked myself out of it. Although Mouse looks good and does seem like the type of game that could go viral on twitch for a few months. If it does you will likly get a great return 5x plus. crap maybe I am talking myself back in.
