Stock Analysis

Here's Why Plexus (NASDAQ:PLXS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NasdaqGS:PLXS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Plexus Corp. (NASDAQ:PLXS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Plexus

What Is Plexus's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, Plexus had US$473.4m of debt, up from US$296.5m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$247.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$225.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:PLXS Debt to Equity History February 22nd 2023

A Look At Plexus' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Plexus had liabilities of US$1.95b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$290.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$247.9m and US$853.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.14b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Plexus is worth US$2.70b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Plexus has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.84. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.6 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also positive, Plexus grew its EBIT by 24% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Plexus's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Plexus recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Plexus's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. But truth be told its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow had us nibbling our nails. Considering this range of data points, we think Plexus is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Plexus that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.