Stock Analysis

NetScout Systems (NASDAQ:NTCT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NasdaqGS:NTCT
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, NetScout Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:NTCT) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for NetScout Systems

What Is NetScout Systems's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that NetScout Systems had debt of US$100.0m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from US$200.0m over a year. But on the other hand it also has US$329.1m in cash, leading to a US$229.1m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:NTCT Debt to Equity History April 8th 2024

How Healthy Is NetScout Systems' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NetScout Systems had liabilities of US$382.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$303.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$329.1m and US$221.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$135.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, NetScout Systems has a market capitalization of US$1.42b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, NetScout Systems boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact NetScout Systems's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 26% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if NetScout Systems can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While NetScout Systems has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, NetScout Systems actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about NetScout Systems's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$229.1m. The cherry on top was that in converted 242% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$71m. So we don't have any problem with NetScout Systems's use of debt. While NetScout Systems didn't make a statutory profit in the last year, its positive EBIT suggests that profitability might not be far away. Click here to see if its earnings are heading in the right direction, over the medium term.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Find out whether NetScout Systems is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.