Stock Analysis

Novanta Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NOVT) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

NasdaqGS:NOVT
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Novanta Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NOVT) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 2.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:NOVT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2024

How Novanta Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Novanta as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Novanta's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Novanta?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Novanta's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.9% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 41% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 10% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 9.4% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Novanta's P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Novanta's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Analysts are forecasting Novanta's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Novanta you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Novanta might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.