Novanta Valuation

Is NOVT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NOVT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NOVT ($164.94) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($84.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NOVT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NOVT?

Key metric: As NOVT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NOVT. This is calculated by dividing NOVT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NOVT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio98.5x
EarningsUS$60.13m
Market CapUS$5.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NOVT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NOVT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
ITRI Itron
22.8x6.5%US$5.2b
BMI Badger Meter
53.6x10.4%US$6.2b
VNT Vontier
13.9x10.5%US$5.6b
NATI National Instruments
44.4x12.7%US$8.0b
NOVT Novanta
98.5x32.5%US$6.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NOVT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (98.5x) compared to the peer average (30.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NOVT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electronic Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SHMD SCHMID Group
2.6xn/aUS$107.87m
SGE Strong Global Entertainment
3.8xn/aUS$12.27m
SPEC Spectaire Holdings
0.03xn/aUS$797.53k
SMX SMX (Security Matters)
0.5xn/aUS$714.91k
No more companies available in this PE range
NOVT 98.5xIndustry Avg. 23.4xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NOVT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (98.5x) compared to the US Electronic industry average (23.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NOVT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NOVT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio98.5x
Fair PE Ratio34.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NOVT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (98.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NOVT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$164.94
US$178.00
+7.9%
5.1%US$187.00US$169.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$174.22
US$181.00
+3.9%
3.3%US$187.00US$175.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$174.81
US$181.00
+3.5%
3.3%US$187.00US$175.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$183.28
US$181.00
-1.2%
3.3%US$187.00US$175.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$170.30
US$178.50
+4.8%
4.8%US$187.00US$170.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$157.79
US$178.50
+13.1%
4.8%US$187.00US$170.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$162.16
US$178.50
+10.1%
4.8%US$187.00US$170.00n/a2
May ’25US$156.78
US$175.10
+11.7%
4.8%US$187.00US$168.30n/a3
Apr ’25US$172.15
US$173.30
+0.7%
5.8%US$187.00US$162.90n/a3
Mar ’25US$175.28
US$173.30
-1.1%
5.8%US$187.00US$162.90n/a3
Feb ’25US$157.40
US$163.97
+4.2%
1.3%US$167.00US$162.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$168.41
US$156.00
-7.4%
3.8%US$162.00US$150.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$147.84
US$156.00
+5.5%
3.8%US$162.00US$150.00n/a2
Nov ’24US$132.03
US$165.50
+25.4%
2.1%US$169.00US$162.00US$174.222
Oct ’24US$143.44
US$165.50
+15.4%
2.1%US$169.00US$162.00US$174.812
Sep ’24US$168.27
US$165.50
-1.6%
2.1%US$169.00US$162.00US$183.282
Aug ’24US$176.38
US$170.50
-3.3%
2.1%US$174.00US$167.00US$170.302
Jul ’24US$184.10
US$164.00
-10.9%
1.8%US$167.00US$161.00US$157.792
Jun ’24US$170.04
US$164.00
-3.6%
1.8%US$167.00US$161.00US$162.162
May ’24US$155.78
US$158.50
+1.7%
5.4%US$167.00US$150.00US$156.782
Apr ’24US$159.09
US$158.50
-0.4%
5.4%US$167.00US$150.00US$172.152
Mar ’24US$143.54
US$154.00
+7.3%
0.6%US$155.00US$153.00US$175.282
Feb ’24US$167.91
US$154.00
-8.3%
0.6%US$155.00US$153.00US$157.402
Jan ’24US$135.87
US$146.00
+7.5%
7.8%US$155.00US$130.00US$168.413
Dec ’23US$157.05
US$146.00
-7.0%
7.8%US$155.00US$130.00US$147.843
Nov ’23US$140.23
US$144.00
+2.7%
12.8%US$170.00US$130.00US$132.033

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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