Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes LightPath Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPTH) Following 26% Share Price Slump

NasdaqCM:LPTH
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LightPath Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:LPTH) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 38% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, LightPath Technologies may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for LightPath Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:LPTH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 11th 2024

What Does LightPath Technologies' Recent Performance Look Like?

LightPath Technologies certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the industry, which has repressed the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on LightPath Technologies will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is LightPath Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as LightPath Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 16% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.7% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 9.0%, which is not materially different.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that LightPath Technologies' P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On LightPath Technologies' P/S

LightPath Technologies' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've seen that LightPath Technologies currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for LightPath Technologies that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.