Stock Analysis

Inseego Corp.'s (NASDAQ:INSG) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 33%

NasdaqGS:INSG
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Inseego Corp. (NASDAQ:INSG) shares have retraced a considerable 33% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Nonetheless, the last 30 days have barely left a scratch on the stock's annual performance, which is up a whopping 385%.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Inseego's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Communications industry is similar at about 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Inseego

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:INSG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2024

What Does Inseego's Recent Performance Look Like?

Inseego could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Inseego's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Inseego's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Inseego would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 35% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.4% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 10%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Inseego's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Following Inseego's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Inseego's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Inseego (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.