Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Inseego Corp.'s (NASDAQ:INSG) 43% Share Price Climb

NasdaqGS:INSG
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Inseego Corp. (NASDAQ:INSG) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 43% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 19% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Inseego's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Communications industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Inseego

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:INSG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 20th 2024

How Has Inseego Performed Recently?

Inseego could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Inseego.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Inseego would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 19%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 40% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 4.5%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Inseego's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Inseego's P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Inseego's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Inseego currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Inseego (including 2 which don't sit too well with us).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Inseego, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.