Stock Analysis

Is Genasys (NASDAQ:GNSS) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Genasys Inc. (NASDAQ:GNSS) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Advertisement

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Genasys

How Much Debt Does Genasys Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Genasys had US$11.7m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has US$12.7m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$1.02m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:GNSS Debt to Equity History August 12th 2024

A Look At Genasys' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Genasys had liabilities of US$12.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$18.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$12.7m and US$6.23m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$12.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Genasys has a market capitalization of US$120.9m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Genasys also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Genasys's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Genasys made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$28m, which is a fall of 46%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

So How Risky Is Genasys?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Genasys lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$17m of cash and made a loss of US$30m. Given it only has net cash of US$1.02m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Genasys (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:GNSS

Genasys

Designs, develops, and sells critical communications hardware and software solutions to alert, inform, and protect people principally in the Asia Pacific, North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Low risk with limited growth.

Advertisement

Updated Narratives

CO
ASTOR logo
composite32 on Astor Enerji ·

Astor Enerji will surge with a fair value of $140.43 in the next 3 years

Fair Value:₺140.4335.5% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RE
PROX logo
RecMag on Proximus ·

Proximus: The State-Backed Backup Plan with 7% Gross Yield and 15% Currency Upside.

Fair Value:€17.1356.7% undervalued
30 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
IPT logo
Agricola on IMPACT Silver ·

A case for for IMPACT Silver Corp (TSXV:IPT) to reach USD $4.52 (CAD $6.16) in 2026 (23 bagger in 1 year) and USD $5.76 (CAD $7.89) by 2030

Fair Value:CA$7.8996.2% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
101 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
20 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3405.8% undervalued
139 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3929.3% undervalued
931 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative