Tecsys Valuation

Is TCYS.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TCYS.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TCYS.F ($30.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($45.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TCYS.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TCYS.F?

Key metric: As TCYS.F is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TCYS.F. This is calculated by dividing TCYS.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TCYS.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.8x
SalesCA$171.54m
Market CapCA$654.73m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TCYS.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TCYS.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.4x
AIP Arteris
6.1x15.7%US$336.3m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$390.5m
OSPN OneSpan
2.8x3.8%US$679.3m
SVCO Silvaco Group
4.1x17.5%US$220.6m
TCYS.F Tecsys
3.8x10.2%US$654.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TCYS.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.8x) compared to the peer average (3.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TCYS.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

80 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.12b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$704.88m
0.6x1.1%US$397.21m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$390.47m
TCYS.F 3.8xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies80PS048121620+
80 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TCYS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.8x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TCYS.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TCYS.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TCYS.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TCYS.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$30.75
US$33.58
+9.2%
7.4%US$36.83US$29.46n/a5
Nov ’25n/a
US$33.58
0%
7.4%US$36.83US$29.46n/a5
Oct ’25n/a
US$33.58
0%
7.4%US$36.83US$29.46n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
US$33.60
0%
6.7%US$36.68US$30.08n/a5
Aug ’25US$28.98
US$33.60
+15.9%
6.7%US$36.68US$30.08n/a5
Jul ’25US$27.00
US$33.93
+25.7%
4.3%US$36.62US$32.96n/a6
Jun ’25US$25.98
US$34.33
+32.1%
4.4%US$36.83US$33.15n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$34.33
0%
4.4%US$36.83US$33.15n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
US$34.33
0%
4.4%US$36.83US$33.15n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
US$34.22
0%
4.8%US$36.88US$32.45n/a5
Feb ’25US$26.65
US$34.27
+28.6%
4.8%US$36.93US$32.50n/a5
Jan ’25US$24.10
US$34.27
+42.2%
4.8%US$36.93US$32.50n/a5
Dec ’24US$25.11
US$34.38
+36.9%
4.8%US$37.05US$32.60n/a5
Nov ’24US$20.81
US$34.21
+64.4%
5.1%US$36.59US$32.20n/a4
Oct ’24US$19.04
US$34.17
+79.5%
4.8%US$36.82US$32.40n/a5
Sep ’24n/a
US$34.33
0%
4.8%US$37.00US$32.56n/a5
Aug ’24n/a
US$35.35
0%
5.1%US$37.81US$33.27US$28.984
Jul ’24US$19.04
US$35.10
+84.3%
5.8%US$37.74US$32.46US$27.004
Jun ’24n/a
US$33.59
0%
7.3%US$36.91US$29.53US$25.986
May ’24n/a
US$33.59
0%
7.3%US$36.91US$29.53n/a6
Apr ’24US$21.12
US$33.42
+58.2%
6.7%US$36.78US$29.43n/a7
Mar ’24US$19.68
US$33.52
+70.3%
7.4%US$37.13US$29.71n/a7
Feb ’24n/a
US$33.52
0%
7.4%US$37.13US$29.71US$26.657
Jan ’24n/a
US$33.52
0%
7.4%US$37.13US$29.71US$24.107
Dec ’23US$20.50
US$34.19
+66.8%
6.3%US$37.22US$29.78US$25.117
Nov ’23US$21.82
US$35.92
+64.6%
6.8%US$38.50US$30.80US$20.817

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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