OneSpan Inc.

NasdaqCM:OSPN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$548.6m

OneSpan Valuation

Is OSPN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OSPN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$9.04
Fair Value
64.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: OSPN ($14.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($9.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OSPN is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OSPN?

Key metric: As OSPN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OSPN. This is calculated by dividing OSPN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OSPN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10x
EarningsUS$57.08m
Market CapUS$548.59m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OSPN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OSPN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average60.2x
RDWR Radware
157.2x32.5%US$899.8m
ATEN A10 Networks
23.5x18.3%US$1.2b
NABL N-able
39.9x-15.8%US$1.2b
ADEA Adeia
20.1x12.9%US$1.3b
OSPN OneSpan
10x-13.3%US$548.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OSPN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the peer average (60.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OSPN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HUT Hut 8
3.8x-64.5%US$1.22b
CCSI Consensus Cloud Solutions
4.1x4.1%US$359.47m
YXT YXT.COM Group Holding
1xn/aUS$47.54m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
1.7xn/aUS$25.74m
OSPN 10.0xIndustry Avg. 29.6xNo. of Companies13PE020406080100+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OSPN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the US Software industry average (29.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OSPN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OSPN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OSPN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OSPN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.88
US$19.33
+29.9%
17.1%US$23.00US$15.00n/a3
Apr ’26US$15.52
US$19.33
+24.6%
17.1%US$23.00US$15.00n/a3
Mar ’26US$16.04
US$19.33
+20.5%
17.1%US$23.00US$15.00n/a3
Feb ’26US$19.24
US$20.00
+4.0%
17.8%US$23.00US$15.00n/a3
Jan ’26US$18.54
US$20.00
+7.9%
17.8%US$23.00US$15.00n/a3
Dec ’25US$18.12
US$17.33
-4.3%
9.8%US$19.00US$15.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$16.18
US$17.33
+7.1%
9.8%US$19.00US$15.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$15.49
US$16.33
+5.4%
16.1%US$20.00US$14.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$16.12
US$14.50
-10.0%
3.4%US$15.00US$14.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$14.51
US$13.50
-7.0%
11.1%US$15.00US$12.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$12.79
US$12.25
-4.2%
2.0%US$12.50US$12.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$13.17
US$12.25
-7.0%
2.0%US$12.50US$12.00n/a2
May ’25US$10.92
US$13.00
+19.0%
10.9%US$15.00US$12.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$11.71
US$13.00
+11.0%
10.9%US$15.00US$12.00US$15.523
Mar ’25US$9.92
US$11.67
+17.6%
14.1%US$13.50US$9.50US$16.043
Feb ’25US$10.47
US$11.67
+11.4%
14.1%US$13.50US$9.50US$19.243
Jan ’25US$10.72
US$13.67
+27.5%
25.4%US$18.00US$9.50US$18.543
Dec ’24US$10.24
US$13.67
+33.5%
25.4%US$18.00US$9.50US$18.123
Nov ’24US$7.78
US$15.67
+101.4%
16.8%US$18.00US$12.00US$16.183
Oct ’24US$10.75
US$15.67
+45.7%
16.8%US$18.00US$12.00US$15.493
Sep ’24US$12.17
US$15.67
+28.7%
16.8%US$18.00US$12.00US$16.123
Aug ’24US$14.09
US$19.33
+37.2%
10.6%US$22.00US$17.00US$14.513
Jul ’24US$14.84
US$19.33
+30.3%
10.6%US$22.00US$17.00US$12.793
Jun ’24US$14.83
US$19.33
+30.4%
10.6%US$22.00US$17.00US$13.173
May ’24US$14.73
US$19.33
+31.3%
10.6%US$22.00US$17.00US$10.923
Apr ’24US$17.50
US$19.33
+10.5%
10.6%US$22.00US$17.00US$11.713
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
US$19.33
Fair Value
23.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/23 22:02
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/23 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

OneSpan Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Daniel DrawbaughB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Matthew GalinkoB. Riley Wealth