Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited

OTCPK:KGDE.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.0b

Kingdee International Software Group Valuation

Is KGDE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KGDE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KGDE.F ($1.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($4.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KGDE.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KGDE.F?

Key metric: As KGDE.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for KGDE.F. This is calculated by dividing KGDE.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is KGDE.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.8x
SalesCN¥5.98b
Market CapCN¥28.99b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does KGDE.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for KGDE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.9x
CLBT Cellebrite DI
11.2x14.0%US$4.4b
BL BlackLine
6.1x8.3%US$3.9b
RIOT Riot Platforms
13.1x39.8%US$3.9b
RNG RingCentral
1.4x6.9%US$3.2b
KGDE.F Kingdee International Software Group
4.8x14.1%US$31.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: KGDE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x) compared to the peer average (7.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does KGDE.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

81 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.13b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$704.88m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$390.02m
EGHT 8x8
0.6x1.1%US$385.45m
KGDE.F 4.8xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies81PS048121620+
81 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: KGDE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.8x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KGDE.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KGDE.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KGDE.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KGDE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.17
US$1.28
+9.6%
24.5%US$2.20US$0.81n/a19
Nov ’25n/a
US$1.29
0%
24.1%US$2.23US$0.82n/a21
Oct ’25n/a
US$1.28
0%
24.0%US$2.26US$0.83n/a21
Sep ’25n/a
US$1.26
0%
24.0%US$2.24US$0.82n/a21
Aug ’25n/a
US$1.52
0%
22.6%US$2.34US$0.87n/a21
Jul ’25n/a
US$1.75
0%
12.0%US$2.52US$1.48n/a21
Jun ’25n/a
US$1.77
0%
11.9%US$2.52US$1.49n/a22
May ’25n/a
US$1.78
0%
12.2%US$2.52US$1.49n/a23
Apr ’25n/a
US$1.85
0%
14.2%US$2.41US$1.49n/a23
Mar ’25n/a
US$2.05
0%
11.4%US$2.46US$1.55n/a23
Feb ’25US$0.97
US$2.06
+111.5%
11.4%US$2.47US$1.56n/a23
Jan ’25n/a
US$2.27
0%
10.7%US$2.83US$1.85n/a22
Dec ’24US$1.47
US$2.29
+55.5%
10.5%US$2.80US$1.94n/a22
Nov ’24US$1.36
US$2.23
+64.1%
11.1%US$2.79US$1.79n/a22
Oct ’24n/a
US$2.25
0%
11.3%US$2.78US$1.79n/a22
Sep ’24n/a
US$2.26
0%
10.9%US$2.80US$1.92n/a22
Aug ’24US$1.49
US$2.41
+62.2%
13.8%US$3.10US$1.79n/a23
Jul ’24n/a
US$2.48
0%
14.1%US$3.30US$1.77n/a24
Jun ’24US$1.34
US$2.57
+92.2%
12.8%US$3.38US$1.81n/a25
May ’24n/a
US$2.65
0%
12.3%US$3.45US$1.85n/a25
Apr ’24n/a
US$2.64
0%
13.5%US$3.48US$1.70n/a27
Mar ’24n/a
US$2.72
0%
15.2%US$3.46US$1.69n/a27
Feb ’24n/a
US$2.71
0%
17.7%US$3.55US$1.73US$0.9727
Jan ’24n/a
US$2.55
0%
19.4%US$3.44US$1.65n/a27
Dec ’23n/a
US$2.49
0%
20.1%US$3.39US$1.63US$1.4728
Nov ’23n/a
US$2.44
0%
20.3%US$3.53US$1.57US$1.3626

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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