ACI Worldwide Valuation

Is ACIW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACIW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACIW ($34.35) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($31.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACIW is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACIW?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ACIW key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.6x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACIW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACIW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average56.7x
IBTA Ibotta
79.2xn/aUS$3.1b
ALRM Alarm.com Holdings
41.4x2.7%US$3.3b
BOX Box
38.5x10.0%US$3.8b
BL BlackLine
67.8x12.5%US$3.6b
ACIW ACI Worldwide
24.8x13.3%US$3.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACIW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x) compared to the peer average (56.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACIW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACIW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x) compared to the US Software industry average (42.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACIW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACIW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.8x
Fair PE Ratio29.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACIW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACIW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$34.35
US$40.73
+18.6%
3.3%US$42.00US$38.10n/a7
Apr ’25US$32.39
US$38.44
+18.7%
1.9%US$40.00US$38.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$32.13
US$38.60
+20.1%
2.1%US$40.00US$38.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$29.71
US$34.80
+17.1%
3.8%US$37.00US$33.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$30.60
US$31.60
+3.3%
9.5%US$34.00US$26.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$27.42
US$31.60
+15.2%
9.5%US$34.00US$26.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$20.24
US$31.75
+56.9%
10.5%US$34.00US$26.00n/a4
Oct ’24US$22.56
US$32.50
+44.1%
6.3%US$34.00US$29.00n/a4
Sep ’24US$24.62
US$32.50
+32.0%
6.3%US$34.00US$29.00n/a4
Aug ’24US$23.30
US$32.50
+39.5%
6.3%US$34.00US$29.00n/a4
Jul ’24US$23.17
US$33.00
+42.4%
3.7%US$34.00US$31.00n/a4
Jun ’24US$22.74
US$33.00
+45.1%
3.7%US$34.00US$31.00n/a4
May ’24US$25.33
US$34.50
+36.2%
9.7%US$40.00US$31.00US$34.354
Apr ’24US$26.98
US$34.50
+27.9%
9.7%US$40.00US$31.00US$32.394
Mar ’24US$25.80
US$33.75
+30.8%
11.5%US$40.00US$30.00US$32.134
Feb ’24US$28.20
US$31.50
+11.7%
16.0%US$40.00US$27.00US$29.714
Jan ’24US$23.00
US$31.40
+36.5%
14.3%US$40.00US$27.00US$30.605
Dec ’23US$21.58
US$31.40
+45.5%
14.3%US$40.00US$27.00US$27.425
Nov ’23US$24.62
US$36.17
+46.9%
15.8%US$46.00US$30.00US$20.246
Oct ’23US$20.90
US$36.83
+76.2%
14.7%US$46.00US$30.00US$22.566
Sep ’23US$23.26
US$38.00
+63.4%
11.9%US$46.00US$31.00US$24.626
Aug ’23US$28.64
US$38.00
+32.7%
11.9%US$46.00US$31.00US$23.306
Jul ’23US$25.87
US$39.40
+52.3%
9.0%US$46.00US$36.00US$23.175
Jun ’23US$27.13
US$39.40
+45.2%
9.0%US$46.00US$36.00US$22.745
May ’23US$27.62
US$41.60
+50.6%
9.3%US$46.00US$36.00US$25.335

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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