Clear Secure, Inc.

NYSE:YOU Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.8b

Clear Secure Valuation

Is YOU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YOU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YOU ($27.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($53.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YOU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YOU?

Key metric: As YOU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YOU. This is calculated by dividing YOU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YOU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.2x
EarningsUS$80.37m
Market CapUS$3.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YOU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YOU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average69.4x
ESMT EngageSmart
155.8x37.9%US$3.9b
DV DoubleVerify Holdings
50.7x21.2%US$3.3b
AGYS Agilysys
40.2x-71.3%US$3.8b
BL BlackLine
30.7x-26.2%US$3.9b
YOU Clear Secure
32.2x27.1%US$3.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YOU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the peer average (69.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YOU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YXT YXT.COM Group Holding
2.4xn/aUS$156.80m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
1.8xn/aUS$29.01m
NXTT Next Technology Holding
0.6xn/aUS$14.33m
ULY Urgent.ly
0.07x-13.0%US$6.75m
YOU 32.2xIndustry Avg. 41.2xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YOU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the US Software industry average (40.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YOU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YOU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.2x
Fair PE Ratio34.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YOU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YOU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$27.29
US$32.13
+17.7%
22.6%US$45.00US$23.00n/a8
Dec ’25US$25.88
US$32.13
+24.1%
22.6%US$45.00US$23.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$36.84
US$30.13
-18.2%
29.4%US$45.00US$18.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$31.72
US$27.38
-13.7%
24.2%US$40.00US$18.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$30.39
US$27.38
-9.9%
24.2%US$40.00US$18.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$20.70
US$24.50
+18.4%
32.1%US$40.00US$17.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$18.66
US$24.50
+31.3%
32.1%US$40.00US$17.00n/a8
Jun ’25US$16.89
US$24.50
+45.1%
32.1%US$40.00US$17.00n/a8
May ’25US$17.54
US$25.14
+43.4%
27.3%US$40.00US$18.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$20.84
US$25.37
+21.7%
26.7%US$40.00US$18.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$18.36
US$25.75
+40.3%
27.5%US$40.00US$18.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$19.73
US$26.13
+32.4%
25.8%US$40.00US$20.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$20.65
US$26.13
+26.5%
25.8%US$40.00US$20.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$21.98
US$26.13
+18.9%
25.8%US$40.00US$20.00US$25.888
Nov ’24US$17.00
US$25.63
+50.7%
26.8%US$40.00US$19.00US$36.848
Oct ’24US$19.04
US$29.71
+56.1%
17.7%US$40.00US$23.00US$31.727
Sep ’24US$21.76
US$29.71
+36.6%
17.7%US$40.00US$23.00US$30.397
Aug ’24US$22.73
US$30.14
+32.6%
15.9%US$40.00US$26.00US$20.707
Jul ’24US$23.17
US$30.14
+30.1%
15.9%US$40.00US$26.00US$18.667
Jun ’24US$24.51
US$30.67
+25.1%
16.3%US$40.00US$26.00US$16.896
May ’24US$24.27
US$33.60
+38.4%
13.3%US$40.00US$30.00US$17.545
Apr ’24US$26.17
US$34.20
+30.7%
12.0%US$40.00US$30.00US$20.845
Mar ’24US$28.59
US$34.00
+18.9%
12.3%US$40.00US$30.00US$18.365
Feb ’24US$32.67
US$32.50
-0.5%
10.1%US$38.00US$30.00US$19.734
Jan ’24US$27.43
US$32.50
+18.5%
10.1%US$38.00US$30.00US$20.654
Dec ’23US$32.01
US$32.50
+1.5%
10.1%US$38.00US$30.00US$21.984

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 22:14
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Clear Secure, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Ben MillerGoldman Sachs
Brian EssexGoldman Sachs