Riot Platforms, Inc.

NasdaqCM:RIOT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.1b

Riot Platforms Valuation

Is RIOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RIOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RIOT ($12.31) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($5.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RIOT is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RIOT?

Key metric: As RIOT is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RIOT. This is calculated by dividing RIOT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RIOT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio13.1x
SalesUS$312.91m
Market CapUS$4.09b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RIOT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RIOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.8x
BL BlackLine
6.1x8.3%US$3.9b
AI C3.ai
14.6x18.4%US$4.8b
BLKB Blackbaud
3.8x5.5%US$4.3b
AGYS Agilysys
14.9x19.6%US$3.8b
RIOT Riot Platforms
13.1x39.8%US$4.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RIOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RIOT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

81 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.12b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$704.88m
0.6x1.1%US$397.21m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$390.47m
RIOT 13.1xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies81PS048121620+
81 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RIOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.1x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RIOT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RIOT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio13.1x
Fair PS Ratio6.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RIOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RIOT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.31
US$16.71
+35.8%
24.3%US$24.00US$9.50n/a14
Nov ’25US$9.44
US$16.23
+71.9%
29.5%US$24.00US$8.22n/a14
Oct ’25US$7.08
US$16.55
+133.8%
27.9%US$22.00US$8.22n/a14
Sep ’25US$7.53
US$17.17
+128.0%
25.2%US$23.00US$9.50n/a13
Aug ’25US$9.32
US$17.46
+87.4%
22.3%US$23.00US$11.00n/a13
Jul ’25US$9.95
US$17.79
+78.8%
20.8%US$23.00US$12.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$9.74
US$17.83
+83.1%
17.2%US$22.00US$13.00n/a12
May ’25US$9.82
US$19.46
+98.1%
19.2%US$26.00US$13.50n/a12
Apr ’25US$11.47
US$19.63
+71.1%
20.4%US$26.00US$11.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$14.44
US$19.62
+35.8%
21.5%US$26.00US$11.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$11.30
US$18.73
+65.7%
24.0%US$26.00US$11.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$15.47
US$17.91
+15.8%
21.6%US$22.50US$11.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$13.77
US$16.19
+17.6%
23.9%US$22.00US$8.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$10.21
US$17.22
+68.7%
23.4%US$22.86US$7.50US$9.4411
Oct ’24US$9.33
US$19.93
+113.6%
11.5%US$23.00US$16.00US$7.089
Sep ’24US$11.04
US$20.15
+82.5%
9.8%US$23.00US$18.00US$7.539
Aug ’24US$18.23
US$16.56
-9.1%
26.5%US$24.00US$12.00US$9.328
Jul ’24US$11.82
US$12.94
+9.5%
9.9%US$16.00US$12.00US$9.958
Jun ’24US$12.41
US$12.06
-2.9%
20.5%US$16.00US$6.00US$9.749
May ’24US$10.52
US$11.75
+11.7%
25.0%US$17.00US$6.00US$9.829
Apr ’24US$9.99
US$9.31
-6.9%
21.6%US$12.00US$5.00US$11.479
Mar ’24US$6.14
US$9.80
+59.6%
19.3%US$12.00US$5.00US$14.4410
Feb ’24US$6.86
US$10.00
+45.8%
21.1%US$13.00US$5.00US$11.309
Jan ’24US$3.39
US$10.50
+209.7%
21.3%US$15.00US$6.00US$15.479
Dec ’23US$4.58
US$10.94
+139.0%
20.9%US$15.00US$6.00US$13.779
Nov ’23US$6.45
US$12.67
+96.4%
21.4%US$17.00US$7.00US$10.219

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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