Smartsheet Valuation

Is SMAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SMAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SMAR ($55.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($101.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SMAR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SMAR?

Key metric: As SMAR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SMAR. This is calculated by dividing SMAR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SMAR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.5x
SalesUS$1.04b
Market CapUS$7.78b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SMAR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SMAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.9x
APPF AppFolio
10.9x16.2%US$8.2b
U Unity Software
4.4x1.4%US$8.0b
OTEX Open Text
1.3x-0.4%US$7.5b
HCP HashiCorp
10.9x13.3%US$6.8b
SMAR Smartsheet
7.5x14.1%US$7.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SMAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (6.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SMAR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

81 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.04b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$634.91m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$378.82m
0.5x1.1%US$351.48m
SMAR 7.5xIndustry Avg. 5.1xNo. of Companies81PS048121620+
81 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SMAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SMAR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SMAR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.5x
Fair PS Ratio7.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SMAR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SMAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$55.94
US$56.48
+1.0%
0.4%US$57.00US$55.79n/a13
Nov ’25US$56.25
US$57.13
+1.6%
2.9%US$62.00US$55.79n/a14
Oct ’25US$55.35
US$57.13
+3.2%
2.9%US$62.00US$55.79n/a14
Sep ’25US$48.80
US$53.88
+10.4%
10.5%US$61.00US$42.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$47.17
US$53.39
+13.2%
9.6%US$60.00US$42.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$44.50
US$52.21
+17.3%
9.1%US$60.00US$42.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$37.00
US$49.26
+33.1%
12.2%US$57.00US$36.00n/a19
May ’25US$38.48
US$49.28
+28.1%
11.9%US$57.00US$36.00n/a20
Apr ’25US$38.40
US$49.28
+28.3%
11.9%US$57.00US$36.00n/a20
Mar ’25US$43.00
US$55.93
+30.1%
9.6%US$65.00US$45.00n/a21
Feb ’25US$44.75
US$56.48
+26.2%
8.6%US$65.00US$48.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$47.82
US$55.75
+16.6%
7.9%US$65.00US$48.00n/a20
Dec ’24US$44.48
US$53.57
+20.4%
7.1%US$60.00US$43.00n/a21
Nov ’24US$38.68
US$53.65
+38.7%
7.3%US$60.00US$43.00US$56.2520
Oct ’24US$40.46
US$53.02
+31.0%
8.0%US$60.00US$43.00US$55.3519
Sep ’24US$42.22
US$51.02
+20.8%
11.1%US$60.00US$40.00US$48.8020
Aug ’24US$43.96
US$51.02
+16.0%
11.1%US$60.00US$40.00US$47.1720
Jul ’24US$38.26
US$50.87
+32.9%
10.7%US$60.00US$40.00US$44.5020
Jun ’24US$49.08
US$52.01
+6.0%
11.3%US$60.00US$38.10US$37.0019
May ’24US$40.76
US$51.48
+26.3%
10.8%US$57.00US$38.10US$38.4819
Apr ’24US$47.80
US$51.48
+7.7%
10.8%US$57.00US$38.10US$38.4019
Mar ’24US$43.37
US$47.16
+8.7%
12.0%US$57.00US$36.00US$43.0020
Feb ’24US$45.04
US$47.06
+4.5%
12.1%US$57.00US$36.00US$44.7520
Jan ’24US$39.36
US$46.26
+17.5%
13.0%US$57.00US$36.00US$47.8220
Dec ’23US$32.51
US$44.33
+36.4%
15.6%US$57.00US$32.00US$44.4819
Nov ’23US$34.63
US$44.86
+29.5%
14.4%US$57.00US$32.00US$38.6819

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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