Stock Analysis

Investors might be losing patience for New Relic's (NYSE:NEWR) increasing losses, as stock sheds 3.3% over the past week

Published
NYSE:NEWR
Source: Shutterstock

Low-cost index funds make it easy to achieve average market returns. But across the board there are plenty of stocks that underperform the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the New Relic, Inc. (NYSE:NEWR) share price is up 41% in the last three years, that falls short of the market return. In the last year the stock price gained, albeit only 3.5%.

While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

Check out our latest analysis for New Relic

New Relic wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last 3 years New Relic saw its revenue grow at 14% per year. That's a very respectable growth rate. The annual gain of 12% over three years is better than nothing, but hardly impresses. So it's possible that expectations were elevated in the past, muting returns over three years. However, if you can reasonably expect profits in the next few years, this stock might belong on your watchlist.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:NEWR Earnings and Revenue Growth March 24th 2023

New Relic is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. You can see what analysts are predicting for New Relic in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that New Relic shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.5% over the last year. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 1.1% per year over five years. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for New Relic you should know about.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether New Relic is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis