Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Instructure Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:INST) Price

NYSE:INST
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Instructure Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:INST) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.7x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Instructure Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:INST Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 8th 2023

How Has Instructure Holdings Performed Recently?

There hasn't been much to differentiate Instructure Holdings' and the industry's revenue growth lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to improve, justifying the currently elevated P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Instructure Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Instructure Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 15% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 81% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.5% during the coming year according to the ten analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 13%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Instructure Holdings' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It comes as a surprise to see Instructure Holdings trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Instructure Holdings that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Instructure Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Instructure Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.